88 vs A4s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, 88 takes 66.17% of the pot on average and A4s takes the other 33.83%.

88

66.17%

Wins 65.96%, ties 0.42%

A4s

33.83%

Wins 33.62%, ties 0.42%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

88 against A4s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for 88 against A4s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
8865.9620.41933.61966.172
A4s33.6190.41965.96233.828

88 is a pocket pair and A4s is a suited hand. The pair is ahead of one card and behind the other, so the board decides how that plays out.

A lead of 32.34 points is large but not decisive: A4s still takes about 336 of every 1,000 deals. Of every 100 boards, about 0.42 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Among the 169 starting hands, 88 is number 7 and A4s is number 35 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 41,095,296 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
8827,107,000172,00013,816,000
A4s13,816,000172,00027,107,000

Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

88 against A4s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
881.9561.5162.9750.511
A4s0.5112.9751.5161.956

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 88 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (76.60%) and weakest on monotone flops (62.38%). 88 stays ahead on all five textures.

88 against A4s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flops88 winsTiesA4s wins88 equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22065.7850.19934.01665.884
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68976.1940.80323.00376.596
Two-tone46.54564.5630.28835.14964.707
Monotone5.21261.1782.39636.42662.376
Paired17.33468.0550.37431.57168.242

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -2.99 points for 88, from 69.16%, and -25.20 for A4s, from 59.03%.

88 and A4s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
88, all flops66.17269.163-2.9910.95675
88, rainbow, ten or higher65.88469.163-3.2790.95259
88, rainbow, nine or lower76.59669.163+7.4331.10747
88, two-tone64.70769.163-4.4560.93557
88, monotone62.37669.163-6.7870.90187
88, paired68.24269.163-0.9210.98668
A4s, all flops33.82859.034-25.2060.57303
A4s, rainbow, ten or higher34.11659.034-24.9180.57790
A4s, rainbow, nine or lower23.40459.034-35.6300.39645
A4s, two-tone35.29359.034-23.7410.59784
A4s, monotone37.62459.034-21.4100.63733
A4s, paired31.75859.034-27.2760.53796

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 88 has 66.46%; looking only at deals where they do not, 65.88%. 88 does better with a shared suit, by 0.58 points.

88 against A4s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of deals88 winsTiesA4s wins88 equity
Share a suit1250.0066.2270.46533.30866.459
No shared suit1250.0065.6970.37433.92965.884

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 24 specific-card matchups (0.0015% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 48 once you count the seats both ways (0.0030%).

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. 88 is worth $132.34 on average (+$32.34); A4s is worth $67.66 (-$32.34).

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 660 wins for 88, 336 for A4s and 4 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, A4s against 88, shows 33.83% for A4s and 66.17% for 88. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

The calculator link fills in 8s8h against Ad4d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 24 ways to deal one 88 and one A4s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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