88
52.67%
Wins 52.48%, ties 0.39%
AJs
47.33%
Wins 47.13%, ties 0.39%
88 against AJs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 52.478 | 0.387 | 47.135 | 52.672 |
| AJs | 47.135 | 0.387 | 52.478 | 47.328 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against a suited hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
This is close to even money, with 88 a little ahead. About 0.39% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
By strength against a random hand, 88 holds place 7 of 169 and AJs holds place 11.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 21,566,000 | 159,000 | 19,370,000 |
| AJs | 19,370,000 | 159,000 | 21,566,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 1.113 | 1.906 | 2.122 | 0.899 |
| AJs | 0.899 | 2.122 | 1.906 | 1.113 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures 88's equity moves by 30.19 points, from 46.82% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better to 77.01% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). The overall edge for 88 hides rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where AJs comes out in front.
| Flop | Share of flops | 88 wins | Ties | AJs wins | 88 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 46.741 | 0.152 | 53.107 | 46.817 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 76.607 | 0.797 | 22.596 | 77.005 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 50.579 | 0.263 | 49.158 | 50.710 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 50.504 | 2.375 | 47.121 | 51.691 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 57.524 | 0.309 | 42.167 | 57.678 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 69.16%, 88 changes by -16.49 points, and AJs, from 65.39%, by -18.06.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88, all flops | 52.672 | 69.163 | -16.491 | 0.76156 |
| 88, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.817 | 69.163 | -22.346 | 0.67691 |
| 88, rainbow, nine or lower | 77.005 | 69.163 | +7.842 | 1.11338 |
| 88, two-tone | 50.710 | 69.163 | -18.453 | 0.73320 |
| 88, monotone | 51.691 | 69.163 | -17.472 | 0.74738 |
| 88, paired | 57.678 | 69.163 | -11.485 | 0.83394 |
| AJs, all flops | 47.328 | 65.393 | -18.065 | 0.72375 |
| AJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.183 | 65.393 | -12.210 | 0.81328 |
| AJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 22.995 | 65.393 | -42.398 | 0.35164 |
| AJs, two-tone | 49.290 | 65.393 | -16.103 | 0.75375 |
| AJs, monotone | 48.309 | 65.393 | -17.084 | 0.73875 |
| AJs, paired | 42.322 | 65.393 | -23.071 | 0.64719 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common 88 has 52.84% equity, and with none in common it has 52.50%. 88 does better with a shared suit, by 0.34 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 88 wins | Ties | AJs wins | 88 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.628 | 0.431 | 46.941 | 52.844 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.328 | 0.344 | 47.328 | 52.500 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 88 takes back $105.34 of it, which is $5.34 more than it put in, and AJs takes back $94.66, $5.34 less than it put in.
Think in thousands: about 525 of 1,000 go to 88, about 471 go to AJs, and about 4 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
AJs against 88 adds nothing new: it is 47.33% for AJs and 52.67% for 88, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with 8s8h against AdJd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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