88
52.58%
Wins 52.36%, ties 0.46%
Q9s
47.42%
Wins 47.18%, ties 0.46%
88 against Q9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 52.356 | 0.455 | 47.189 | 52.584 |
| Q9s | 47.189 | 0.455 | 52.356 | 47.416 |
One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
This is close to even money, with 88 a little ahead. Ties are part of the picture: 0.46% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
88 ranks number 7 of 169 starting hands, and Q9s ranks number 43, by equity against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 21,516,000 | 187,000 | 19,392,000 |
| Q9s | 19,392,000 | 187,000 | 21,516,000 |
Exact total: 24 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 | 1.109 | 1.910 | 2.119 | 0.902 |
| Q9s | 0.902 | 2.119 | 1.910 | 1.109 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
88 prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 61.66%, and likes two-tone flops least, where it holds 50.54%. 88 stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | 88 wins | Ties | Q9s wins | 88 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.220 | 50.671 | 0.235 | 49.094 | 50.789 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.689 | 61.300 | 0.727 | 37.973 | 61.664 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 50.386 | 0.303 | 49.311 | 50.537 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 50.270 | 2.404 | 47.326 | 51.472 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 57.790 | 0.508 | 41.702 | 58.044 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, 88 changes by -16.58 points (baseline 69.16%) and Q9s by -10.24 points (baseline 57.66%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88, all flops | 52.584 | 69.163 | -16.579 | 0.76029 |
| 88, rainbow, ten or higher | 50.789 | 69.163 | -18.374 | 0.73434 |
| 88, rainbow, nine or lower | 61.664 | 69.163 | -7.499 | 0.89157 |
| 88, two-tone | 50.537 | 69.163 | -18.626 | 0.73069 |
| 88, monotone | 51.472 | 69.163 | -17.691 | 0.74421 |
| 88, paired | 58.044 | 69.163 | -11.119 | 0.83923 |
| Q9s, all flops | 47.416 | 57.664 | -10.248 | 0.82228 |
| Q9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 49.211 | 57.664 | -8.453 | 0.85341 |
| Q9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 38.336 | 57.664 | -19.328 | 0.66482 |
| Q9s, two-tone | 49.463 | 57.664 | -8.201 | 0.85778 |
| Q9s, monotone | 48.528 | 57.664 | -9.136 | 0.84156 |
| Q9s, paired | 41.956 | 57.664 | -15.708 | 0.72759 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? 88 has 52.73% when the hands share a suit and 52.44% when they do not. 88 does better with a shared suit, by 0.29 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 88 wins | Ties | Q9s wins | 88 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.479 | 0.496 | 47.025 | 52.727 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.233 | 0.414 | 47.353 | 52.440 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0030% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 48 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 88 gets $105.16 of it on average and Q9s gets $94.84.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 524 won outright by 88, about 472 won outright by Q9s and about 4 split.
The same matchup from the other side
If you came looking for Q9s against 88, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 47.42% and 52.58%.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in 8s8h against Qd9d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 24 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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