99
81.94%
Wins 81.60%, ties 0.67%
88
18.06%
Wins 17.73%, ties 0.67%
99 against 88: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 81.601 | 0.670 | 17.729 | 81.936 |
| 88 | 17.729 | 0.670 | 81.601 | 18.064 |
99 meets 88, and both are pocket pairs. A pair against a smaller pair is the classic crush: the smaller pair needs one of its two remaining cards to make a set.
99 is a big favorite here before anyone sees a flop. The tie share is 0.67%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
99 ranks number 6 of 169 starting hands, and 88 ranks number 7, by equity against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 50,301,000 | 413,000 | 10,929,000 |
| 88 | 10,929,000 | 413,000 | 50,301,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 4.536 | 1.225 | 5.640 | 0.220 |
| 88 | 0.220 | 5.640 | 1.225 | 4.536 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
By flop texture, 99's equity runs from 73.79% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 86.28% on paired flops. 99 stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | 88 wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.844 | 83.058 | 0.383 | 16.559 | 83.249 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.065 | 73.401 | 0.786 | 25.813 | 73.794 |
| Two-tone | 46.363 | 80.861 | 0.436 | 18.703 | 81.079 |
| Monotone | 5.152 | 75.323 | 1.827 | 22.850 | 76.236 |
| Paired | 17.576 | 85.616 | 1.334 | 13.050 | 86.283 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 72.06% for 99 and 69.16% for 88. This opponent changes them by +9.88 and -51.10 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 81.936 | 72.057 | +9.879 | 1.13710 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 83.249 | 72.057 | +11.192 | 1.15532 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 73.794 | 72.057 | +1.737 | 1.02411 |
| 99, two-tone | 81.079 | 72.057 | +9.022 | 1.12521 |
| 99, monotone | 76.236 | 72.057 | +4.179 | 1.05800 |
| 99, paired | 86.283 | 72.057 | +14.226 | 1.19743 |
| 88, all flops | 18.064 | 69.163 | -51.099 | 0.26118 |
| 88, rainbow, ten or higher | 16.751 | 69.163 | -52.412 | 0.24220 |
| 88, rainbow, nine or lower | 26.206 | 69.163 | -42.957 | 0.37890 |
| 88, two-tone | 18.921 | 69.163 | -50.242 | 0.27357 |
| 88, monotone | 23.764 | 69.163 | -45.399 | 0.34359 |
| 88, paired | 13.717 | 69.163 | -55.446 | 0.19833 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 99 has 82.07%; looking only at deals where they do not, 81.24%. 99 does better with a shared suit, by 0.83 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | 88 wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 30 | 83.33 | 81.732 | 0.685 | 17.583 | 82.074 |
| No shared suit | 6 | 16.67 | 80.949 | 0.591 | 18.460 | 81.244 |
How often this matchup comes up
The class pair covers 36 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0022% of 1,624,350, and 72 (0.0044%) in either order.
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, 99's average share is $163.88 (a gain of $63.88) and 88's is $36.12 (a loss of $63.88).
Per 1,000 deals: 99 wins about 816, 88 wins about 177, and about 7 end in a split pot.
The same matchup from the other side
The mirror image, 88 against 99, is 18.06% to 81.94%, and its address redirects to this page.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in 9s9h against 8d8c, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 36 ways to deal one 99 and one 88 without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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