99
62.56%
Wins 61.58%, ties 1.96%
J9s
37.44%
Wins 36.46%, ties 1.96%
99 against J9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 61.580 | 1.960 | 36.460 | 62.560 |
| J9s | 36.460 | 1.960 | 61.580 | 37.440 |
One side is a pocket pair, the other is a suited hand. The non-pair hand shares a rank with the pair, so two of its outs for pairing are blocked by the pair itself.
99 is ahead, but J9s is far from dead: it takes 364 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 1.96% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
For context, 99 sits at number 6 of 169 starting hands and J9s at number 55 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 12,653,000 | 403,000 | 7,492,000 |
| J9s | 7,492,000 | 403,000 | 12,653,000 |
The board total is exact, 12 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.671 | 1.624 | 2.743 | 0.598 |
| J9s | 0.598 | 2.743 | 1.624 | 1.671 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures 99's equity moves by 21.76 points, from 59.20% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better to 80.96% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 99 stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | J9s wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 25.197 | 58.226 | 1.939 | 39.835 | 59.195 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 5.585 | 79.307 | 3.309 | 17.384 | 80.962 |
| Two-tone | 46.236 | 59.117 | 2.004 | 38.879 | 60.119 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 57.790 | 2.824 | 39.386 | 59.202 |
| Paired | 17.831 | 68.248 | 1.204 | 30.548 | 68.850 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -9.50 points for 99, from 72.06%, and -18.22 for J9s, from 55.66%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 62.560 | 72.057 | -9.497 | 0.86820 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 59.195 | 72.057 | -12.862 | 0.82150 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 80.962 | 72.057 | +8.905 | 1.12358 |
| 99, two-tone | 60.119 | 72.057 | -11.938 | 0.83433 |
| 99, monotone | 59.202 | 72.057 | -12.855 | 0.82160 |
| 99, paired | 68.850 | 72.057 | -3.207 | 0.95549 |
| J9s, all flops | 37.440 | 55.662 | -18.222 | 0.67263 |
| J9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 40.805 | 55.662 | -14.857 | 0.73309 |
| J9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 19.038 | 55.662 | -36.624 | 0.34203 |
| J9s, two-tone | 39.881 | 55.662 | -15.781 | 0.71649 |
| J9s, monotone | 40.798 | 55.662 | -14.864 | 0.73296 |
| J9s, paired | 31.150 | 55.662 | -24.512 | 0.55963 |
Does a shared suit matter?
These two classes cannot share a suit in any legal deal, so there is only one row to read: 99 holds 62.56% in every deal of this matchup.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | J9s wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 0 | 0.00 | not possible | not possible | not possible | not possible |
| No shared suit | 12 | 100.00 | 61.580 | 1.960 | 36.460 | 62.560 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, 99 against J9s appears in 12 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0007%), and in 24 when the seats are swapped too (0.0015%).
A worked example
Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: 99 averages $125.12 back, ahead of its $100 by $25.12, while J9s averages $74.88, short of its $100 by $25.12.
Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 616 for 99, 364 for J9s and 20 tied.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, J9s against 99, shows 37.44% for J9s and 62.56% for 99. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
Try 9s9h against Jd9d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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