99
52.56%
Wins 52.35%, ties 0.41%
KQs
47.44%
Wins 47.24%, ties 0.41%
99 against KQs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 52.350 | 0.414 | 47.236 | 52.557 |
| KQs | 47.236 | 0.414 | 52.350 | 47.443 |
Here a pocket pair (99) meets a suited hand (KQs). One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.
This is close to even money, with 99 a little ahead. Ties are 0.41% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
For context, 99 sits at number 6 of 169 starting hands and KQs at number 16 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 21,513,000 | 170,000 | 19,412,000 |
| KQs | 19,412,000 | 170,000 | 21,513,000 |
The total is exact: 24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.108 | 1.910 | 2.117 | 0.903 |
| KQs | 0.903 | 2.117 | 1.910 | 1.108 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, 99 peaks at 78.18% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 46.12% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. KQs takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | KQs wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 46.043 | 0.152 | 53.805 | 46.119 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 77.655 | 1.050 | 21.295 | 78.180 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 50.263 | 0.306 | 49.431 | 50.416 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 50.228 | 2.394 | 47.378 | 51.425 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 58.327 | 0.249 | 41.424 | 58.452 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, 99 holds 72.06% and KQs holds 63.40%. Facing each other changes that by -19.50 points for 99 and -15.96 points for KQs.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 52.557 | 72.057 | -19.500 | 0.72938 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.119 | 72.057 | -25.938 | 0.64003 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 78.180 | 72.057 | +6.123 | 1.08497 |
| 99, two-tone | 50.416 | 72.057 | -21.641 | 0.69967 |
| 99, monotone | 51.425 | 72.057 | -20.632 | 0.71367 |
| 99, paired | 58.452 | 72.057 | -13.605 | 0.81119 |
| KQs, all flops | 47.443 | 63.400 | -15.957 | 0.74831 |
| KQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.881 | 63.400 | -9.519 | 0.84986 |
| KQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 21.820 | 63.400 | -41.580 | 0.34416 |
| KQs, two-tone | 49.584 | 63.400 | -13.816 | 0.78208 |
| KQs, monotone | 48.575 | 63.400 | -14.825 | 0.76617 |
| KQs, paired | 41.548 | 63.400 | -21.852 | 0.65533 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give 99 52.72% when the hands overlap in a suit and 52.40% when they do not. 99 does better with a shared suit, by 0.32 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | KQs wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.489 | 0.457 | 47.054 | 52.718 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.212 | 0.371 | 47.417 | 52.397 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 24 specific-card matchups (0.0015% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 48 once you count the seats both ways (0.0030%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 99 takes back $105.12 of it, which is $5.12 more than it put in, and KQs takes back $94.88, $5.12 less than it put in.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 524 outright wins for 99, 472 for KQs, and 4 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: KQs against 99 is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so KQs holds 47.44% and 99 holds 52.56%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with 9s9h against KdQd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 24 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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