99
55.39%
Wins 55.20%, ties 0.38%
KTo
44.61%
Wins 44.42%, ties 0.38%
99 against KTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 55.199 | 0.383 | 44.418 | 55.391 |
| KTo | 44.418 | 0.383 | 55.199 | 44.609 |
The matchup pits a pocket pair against an offsuit hand. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.
99 is ahead, but KTo is far from dead: it takes 444 of every 1,000 deals outright. About 0.38% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
By strength against a random hand, 99 holds place 6 of 169 and KTo holds place 33.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 68,053,000 | 472,000 | 54,761,000 |
| KTo | 54,761,000 | 472,000 | 68,053,000 |
72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.242 | 1.812 | 2.251 | 0.805 |
| KTo | 0.805 | 2.251 | 1.812 | 1.242 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: 99 holds 80.27% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 47.94% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. The overall edge for 99 hides rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where KTo comes out in front.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | KTo wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.717 | 47.846 | 0.183 | 51.971 | 47.938 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 79.807 | 0.919 | 19.274 | 80.266 |
| Two-tone | 46.485 | 54.012 | 0.319 | 45.669 | 54.172 |
| Monotone | 5.151 | 50.713 | 1.703 | 47.584 | 51.565 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 61.235 | 0.257 | 38.508 | 61.364 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, 99 changes by -16.67 points (baseline 72.06%) and KTo by -15.13 points (baseline 59.74%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 55.391 | 72.057 | -16.666 | 0.76871 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 47.938 | 72.057 | -24.119 | 0.66528 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 80.266 | 72.057 | +8.209 | 1.11392 |
| 99, two-tone | 54.172 | 72.057 | -17.885 | 0.75179 |
| 99, monotone | 51.565 | 72.057 | -20.492 | 0.71561 |
| 99, paired | 61.364 | 72.057 | -10.693 | 0.85160 |
| KTo, all flops | 44.609 | 59.739 | -15.130 | 0.74673 |
| KTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 52.062 | 59.739 | -7.677 | 0.87149 |
| KTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 19.734 | 59.739 | -40.005 | 0.33034 |
| KTo, two-tone | 45.828 | 59.739 | -13.911 | 0.76714 |
| KTo, monotone | 48.435 | 59.739 | -11.304 | 0.81078 |
| KTo, paired | 38.636 | 59.739 | -21.103 | 0.64675 |
Does a shared suit matter?
When the hands share a suit, 99 holds 55.31%; when they do not, it holds 55.81%. 99 does better with no shared suit, by 0.50 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | KTo wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 60 | 83.33 | 55.107 | 0.399 | 44.494 | 55.307 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 16.67 | 55.659 | 0.304 | 44.037 | 55.811 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 72 are 99 in one seat and KTo in the other (0.0044%); with the seats swapped too, 144 (0.0089%).
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 99 gets $110.78 of it on average and KTo gets $89.22.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 552 outright wins for 99, 444 for KTo, and 4 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get KTo with 44.61% against 99 with 55.39%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
9s9h against KdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 72 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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