99
52.71%
Wins 52.51%, ties 0.40%
KTs
47.29%
Wins 47.09%, ties 0.40%
99 against KTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 52.509 | 0.404 | 47.087 | 52.711 |
| KTs | 47.087 | 0.404 | 52.509 | 47.289 |
99 and KTs are a pocket pair and a suited hand, in that order. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.
This is close to even money, with 99 a little ahead. About 0.40% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.
For context, 99 sits at number 6 of 169 starting hands and KTs at number 22 when each is run against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 21,579,000 | 166,000 | 19,351,000 |
| KTs | 19,351,000 | 166,000 | 21,579,000 |
24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99 | 1.115 | 1.904 | 2.124 | 0.897 |
| KTs | 0.897 | 2.124 | 1.904 | 1.115 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
The flop changes the picture. 99 does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 77.57%, and worst on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 46.46%. The overall edge for 99 hides rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where KTs comes out in front.
| Flop | Share of flops | 99 wins | Ties | KTs wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 46.371 | 0.176 | 53.453 | 46.459 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 77.130 | 0.879 | 21.991 | 77.570 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 50.416 | 0.294 | 49.290 | 50.563 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 50.308 | 2.387 | 47.305 | 51.501 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 58.529 | 0.257 | 41.214 | 58.658 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 72.06% for 99 and 61.79% for KTs. This opponent changes them by -19.35 and -14.50 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99, all flops | 52.711 | 72.057 | -19.346 | 0.73152 |
| 99, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.459 | 72.057 | -25.598 | 0.64475 |
| 99, rainbow, nine or lower | 77.570 | 72.057 | +5.513 | 1.07651 |
| 99, two-tone | 50.563 | 72.057 | -21.494 | 0.70171 |
| 99, monotone | 51.501 | 72.057 | -20.556 | 0.71473 |
| 99, paired | 58.658 | 72.057 | -13.399 | 0.81405 |
| KTs, all flops | 47.289 | 61.789 | -14.500 | 0.76533 |
| KTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.541 | 61.789 | -8.248 | 0.86651 |
| KTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 22.430 | 61.789 | -39.359 | 0.36301 |
| KTs, two-tone | 49.437 | 61.789 | -12.352 | 0.80009 |
| KTs, monotone | 48.499 | 61.789 | -13.290 | 0.78491 |
| KTs, paired | 41.342 | 61.789 | -20.447 | 0.66908 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? 99 has 52.85% when the hands share a suit and 52.57% when they do not. 99 does better with a shared suit, by 0.28 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | 99 wins | Ties | KTs wins | 99 equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.631 | 0.445 | 46.924 | 52.854 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 52.386 | 0.363 | 47.251 | 52.568 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 24 specific-card matchups (0.0015% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 48 once you count the seats both ways (0.0030%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average 99 takes back $105.42 of it, which is $5.42 more than it put in, and KTs takes back $94.58, $5.42 less than it put in.
Think in thousands: about 525 of 1,000 go to 99, about 471 go to KTs, and about 4 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, KTs against 99, shows 47.29% for KTs and 52.71% for 99. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
9s9h against KdTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific 99 against KTs deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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