A2s vs 22: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 62.04% for 22 and 37.96% for A2s, so 22 leads by 24.08 points.

A2s

37.96%

Wins 37.18%, ties 1.58%

22

62.04%

Wins 61.24%, ties 1.58%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A2s against 22: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A2s against 22, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A2s37.1761.57661.24837.964
2261.2481.57637.17662.036

We compare a suited hand with a pocket pair. One hand holds a card of the same rank as the pair, which removes a card the pair needs and makes the pair a bigger favorite.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are 1.58% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

A2s ranks number 46 of 169 starting hands, and 22 ranks number 87, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A2s7,639,000324,00012,585,000
2212,585,000324,0007,639,000

The board total is exact, 12 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

A2s against 22 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A2s0.6122.6901.6331.634
221.6341.6332.6900.612

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. 22 does best on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 76.69%, and worst on paired flops, at 58.52%. 22 stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

A2s against 22 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA2s winsTies22 winsA2s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.19737.0450.95262.00337.521
Rainbow, nine or lower5.58521.3074.00874.68523.311
Two-tone46.23637.6071.36361.03038.288
Monotone5.15138.8654.12457.01140.927
Paired17.83140.7281.51357.75941.485

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 57.38% for A2s and 50.33% for 22. This opponent changes them by -19.42 and +11.71 points.

A2s and 22 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A2s, all flops37.96457.379-19.4150.66164
A2s, rainbow, ten or higher37.52157.379-19.8580.65392
A2s, rainbow, nine or lower23.31157.379-34.0680.40626
A2s, two-tone38.28857.379-19.0910.66728
A2s, monotone40.92757.379-16.4520.71327
A2s, paired41.48557.379-15.8940.72300
22, all flops62.03650.334+11.7021.23249
22, rainbow, ten or higher62.47950.334+12.1451.24129
22, rainbow, nine or lower76.68950.334+26.3551.52360
22, two-tone61.71250.334+11.3781.22605
22, monotone59.07350.334+8.7391.17362
22, paired58.51550.334+8.1811.16253

Does a shared suit matter?

Every legal deal of A2s against 22 leaves the hands with no suit in common, so the suit split does not apply here.

A2s against 22 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA2s winsTies22 winsA2s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0037.1761.57661.24837.964

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 12 are A2s in one seat and 22 in the other (0.0007%); with the seats swapped too, 24 (0.0015%).

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. 22 averages $124.08 from the $200, up $24.08; A2s averages $75.92, down $24.08.

Think in thousands: about 612 of 1,000 go to 22, about 372 go to A2s, and about 16 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 22 against A2s, shows 62.04% for 22 and 37.96% for A2s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Try As2s against 2h2d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 12 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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