A2s vs T9o: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A2s is ahead of T9o by 14.42 points of equity, 57.21% to 42.79%.

A2s

57.21%

Wins 56.97%, ties 0.47%

T9o

42.79%

Wins 42.56%, ties 0.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A2s against T9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A2s against T9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A2s56.9730.47242.55557.209
T9o42.5550.47256.97342.791

The matchup pits a suited hand against an offsuit hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Of every 100 boards, about 0.47 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

By strength against a random hand, A2s holds place 46 of 169 and T9o holds place 78.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A2s46,826,000388,00034,976,000
T9o34,976,000388,00046,826,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A2s against T9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A2s1.3371.7552.3500.748
T9o0.7482.3501.7551.337

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures A2s' equity moves by 10.38 points, from 52.85% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 63.23% on paired flops. A2s stays ahead on all five textures.

A2s against T9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA2s winsTiesT9o winsA2s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.66555.3350.20244.46355.436
Rainbow, nine or lower6.36552.4700.76746.76352.854
Two-tone46.66756.6730.29243.03556.819
Monotone5.21253.4722.38644.14254.665
Paired17.09162.8990.66136.44063.229

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, A2s holds 57.38% and T9o holds 51.53%. Facing each other changes that by -0.17 points for A2s and -8.74 points for T9o.

A2s and T9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A2s, all flops57.20957.379-0.1700.99704
A2s, rainbow, ten or higher55.43657.379-1.9430.96614
A2s, rainbow, nine or lower52.85457.379-4.5250.92114
A2s, two-tone56.81957.379-0.5600.99024
A2s, monotone54.66557.379-2.7140.95270
A2s, paired63.22957.379+5.8501.10195
T9o, all flops42.79151.532-8.7410.83038
T9o, rainbow, ten or higher44.56451.532-6.9680.86478
T9o, rainbow, nine or lower47.14651.532-4.3860.91489
T9o, two-tone43.18151.532-8.3510.83795
T9o, monotone45.33551.532-6.1970.87974
T9o, paired36.77151.532-14.7610.71356

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give A2s 56.85% when the hands overlap in a suit and 57.57% when they do not. A2s does better with no shared suit, by 0.72 points.

A2s against T9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA2s winsTiesT9o winsA2s equity
Share a suit2450.0056.5940.51542.89156.851
No shared suit2450.0057.3520.42942.21957.567

How often this matchup comes up

A2s against T9o is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average A2s takes back $114.42 of it, which is $14.42 more than it put in, and T9o takes back $85.58, $14.42 less than it put in.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 570 outright wins for A2s, 425 for T9o, and 5 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

T9o versus A2s is this same page seen from the other hand: 42.79% for T9o, 57.21% for A2s.

As2s against Th9d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 48 deals of A2s against T9o fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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