A3s vs 65s: preflop equity

The exact count puts A3s at 56.17% and 65s at 43.83% when the two hands see all five board cards.

A3s

56.17%

Wins 55.88%, ties 0.57%

65s

43.83%

Wins 43.55%, ties 0.57%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A3s against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A3s against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A3s55.8810.56943.55056.166
65s43.5500.56955.88143.834

A3s and 65s are both suited hands. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. A split pot comes up on 0.57% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

By strength against a random hand, A3s holds place 38 of 169 and 65s holds place 128.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A3s15,310,000156,00011,931,000
65s11,931,000156,00015,310,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A3s against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A3s1.2811.7902.2960.780
65s0.7802.2961.7901.281

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures A3s' equity moves by 29.23 points, from 33.12% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 62.35% on paired flops. The lead reverses on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): there 65s is the favorite even though A3s is ahead overall.

A3s against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA3s winsTies65s winsA3s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22060.0090.25539.73660.136
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68932.6940.86066.44633.124
Two-tone46.72754.6710.32845.00154.835
Monotone5.27352.0273.50444.46953.779
Paired17.09162.0080.69037.30262.353

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -2.05 points for A3s, from 58.22%, and +0.70 for 65s, from 43.13%.

A3s and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A3s, all flops56.16658.220-2.0540.96472
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher60.13658.220+1.9161.03291
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower33.12458.220-25.0960.56895
A3s, two-tone54.83558.220-3.3850.94186
A3s, monotone53.77958.220-4.4410.92372
A3s, paired62.35358.220+4.1331.07099
65s, all flops43.83443.133+0.7011.01625
65s, rainbow, ten or higher39.86443.133-3.2690.92421
65s, rainbow, nine or lower66.87643.133+23.7431.55046
65s, two-tone45.16543.133+2.0321.04711
65s, monotone46.22143.133+3.0881.07159
65s, paired37.64743.133-5.4860.87281

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 4 of them the hands share a suit and A3s holds 57.93%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 55.58%. A3s does better with a shared suit, by 2.35 points.

A3s against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA3s winsTies65s winsA3s equity
Share a suit425.0057.6090.65141.74057.934
No shared suit1275.0055.3050.54244.15355.576

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, A3s' average share is $112.34 (a gain of $12.34) and 65s' is $87.66 (a loss of $12.34).

A thousand deals look like this: A3s takes 559, 65s takes 435, 6 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for 65s against A3s, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 43.83% and 56.17%.

Open the calculator with As3s against 6h5h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 16 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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