A5s vs 54s: preflop equity

The exact count puts A5s at 69.20% and 54s at 30.80% when the two hands see all five board cards.

A5s

69.20%

Wins 67.98%, ties 2.44%

54s

30.80%

Wins 29.58%, ties 2.44%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A5s against 54s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A5s against 54s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A5s67.9822.44429.57469.204
54s29.5742.44467.98230.796

Two suited hands meet here: A5s against 54s. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

That is a clear edge, 69.20% to 30.80%, but 54s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Split pots make up 2.44% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

Among the 169 starting hands, A5s is number 30 and 54s is number 136 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A5s13,969,000502,0006,077,000
54s6,077,000502,00013,969,000

12 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A5s against 54s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A5s2.2471.4713.3810.445
54s0.4453.3811.4712.247

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: A5s holds 74.21% on paired flops and 54.51% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). A5s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

A5s against 54s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA5s winsTies54s winsA5s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.25472.7051.37925.91673.395
Rainbow, nine or lower5.65450.7987.41341.78954.505
Two-tone46.54366.4852.16231.35367.566
Monotone5.21560.5244.59334.88362.820
Paired17.33472.9732.48324.54474.214

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 59.92%, A5s changes by +9.28 points, and 54s, from 41.45%, by -10.65.

A5s and 54s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A5s, all flops69.20459.923+9.2811.15488
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher73.39559.923+13.4721.22482
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower54.50559.923-5.4180.90958
A5s, two-tone67.56659.923+7.6431.12755
A5s, monotone62.82059.923+2.8971.04835
A5s, paired74.21459.923+14.2911.23849
54s, all flops30.79641.453-10.6570.74291
54s, rainbow, ten or higher26.60541.453-14.8480.64181
54s, rainbow, nine or lower45.49541.453+4.0421.09751
54s, two-tone32.43441.453-9.0190.78243
54s, monotone37.18041.453-4.2730.89692
54s, paired25.78641.453-15.6670.62205

Does a shared suit matter?

There is no shared-suit case for this pair, since the cards they would need are already in the other hand. Every deal is a no-shared-suit deal.

A5s against 54s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA5s winsTies54s winsA5s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0067.9822.44429.57469.204

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, A5s against 54s appears in 12 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0007%), and in 24 when the seats are swapped too (0.0015%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. A5s' equity of 69.20% is worth $138.40, a $38.40 edge, and 54s' 30.80% is worth $61.60, which is $38.40 under its stake.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 680 outright wins for A5s, 296 for 54s, and 24 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 54s' side the equity is 30.80%, and from A5s' side it is 69.20%.

Try As5s against 5h4h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 12 ways to deal one A5s and one 54s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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