A7s vs K9o: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, A7s takes 61.45% of the pot on average and K9o takes the other 38.55%.

A7s

61.45%

Wins 61.24%, ties 0.43%

K9o

38.55%

Wins 38.33%, ties 0.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A7s against K9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A7s against K9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A7s61.2350.42838.33761.449
K9o38.3370.42861.23538.551

One side is a suited hand, the other is an offsuit hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are part of the picture: 0.43% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, A7s is number 24 and K9o is number 40.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A7s50,329,000352,00031,509,000
K9o31,509,000352,00050,329,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A7s against K9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A7s1.5941.6332.6080.627
K9o0.6272.6081.6331.594

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, A7s peaks at 66.09% on paired flops and bottoms out at 57.80% on monotone flops. A7s stays ahead on all five textures.

A7s against K9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA7s winsTiesK9o winsA7s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.66559.8550.16439.98159.937
Rainbow, nine or lower6.36558.8730.65240.47559.199
Two-tone46.66761.1380.24738.61561.261
Monotone5.21256.6252.35841.01757.804
Paired17.09165.7790.62833.59366.093

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +0.47 points for A7s, from 60.98%, and -19.26 for K9o, from 57.81%.

A7s and K9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A7s, all flops61.44960.984+0.4651.00762
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher59.93760.984-1.0470.98283
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower59.19960.984-1.7850.97073
A7s, two-tone61.26160.984+0.2771.00454
A7s, monotone57.80460.984-3.1800.94786
A7s, paired66.09360.984+5.1091.08378
K9o, all flops38.55157.812-19.2610.66683
K9o, rainbow, ten or higher40.06357.812-17.7490.69299
K9o, rainbow, nine or lower40.80157.812-17.0110.70575
K9o, two-tone38.73957.812-19.0730.67009
K9o, monotone42.19657.812-15.6160.72988
K9o, paired33.90757.812-23.9050.58650

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? A7s has 61.13% when the hands share a suit and 61.76% when they do not. A7s does better with no shared suit, by 0.63 points.

A7s against K9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA7s winsTiesK9o winsA7s equity
Share a suit2450.0060.9000.46838.63261.134
No shared suit2450.0061.5710.38738.04261.764

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0059% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 96 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says A7s gets $122.90 of it on average and K9o gets $77.10.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 612 won outright by A7s, about 384 won outright by K9o and about 4 split.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, K9o against A7s, shows 38.55% for K9o and 61.45% for A7s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

As7s against Kh9d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 48 specific deals of A7s against K9o, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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