A7s
54.75%
Wins 54.51%, ties 0.47%
JTs
45.25%
Wins 45.02%, ties 0.47%
A7s against JTs: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A7s | 54.510 | 0.469 | 45.021 | 54.745 |
| JTs | 45.021 | 0.469 | 54.510 | 45.255 |
A7s and JTs are both suited hands. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
A7s leads by less than 10 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. The tie share is 0.47%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, A7s is number 24 of the 169 starting hands and JTs is number 45.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| A7s | 14,934,000 | 128,000 | 12,334,000 |
| JTs | 12,334,000 | 128,000 | 14,934,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A7s | 1.210 | 1.835 | 2.221 | 0.827 |
| JTs | 0.827 | 2.221 | 1.835 | 1.210 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures A7s' equity moves by 20.23 points, from 49.05% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better to 69.28% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). The overall edge for A7s hides rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, where JTs comes out in front.
| Flop | Share of flops | A7s wins | Ties | JTs wins | A7s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 48.975 | 0.157 | 50.868 | 49.053 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 69.003 | 0.550 | 30.447 | 69.278 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 53.363 | 0.225 | 46.412 | 53.475 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 50.989 | 3.394 | 45.617 | 52.686 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 60.493 | 0.632 | 38.875 | 60.809 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -6.23 points for A7s, from 60.98%, and -12.28 for JTs, from 57.53%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A7s, all flops | 54.745 | 60.984 | -6.239 | 0.89769 |
| A7s, rainbow, ten or higher | 49.053 | 60.984 | -11.931 | 0.80436 |
| A7s, rainbow, nine or lower | 69.278 | 60.984 | +8.294 | 1.13600 |
| A7s, two-tone | 53.475 | 60.984 | -7.509 | 0.87687 |
| A7s, monotone | 52.686 | 60.984 | -8.298 | 0.86393 |
| A7s, paired | 60.809 | 60.984 | -0.175 | 0.99713 |
| JTs, all flops | 45.255 | 57.528 | -12.273 | 0.78666 |
| JTs, rainbow, ten or higher | 50.947 | 57.528 | -6.581 | 0.88560 |
| JTs, rainbow, nine or lower | 30.722 | 57.528 | -26.806 | 0.53404 |
| JTs, two-tone | 46.525 | 57.528 | -11.003 | 0.80874 |
| JTs, monotone | 47.314 | 57.528 | -10.214 | 0.82245 |
| JTs, paired | 39.191 | 57.528 | -18.337 | 0.68125 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Does suit overlap move the numbers? A7s has 56.39% when the hands share a suit and 54.20% when they do not. A7s does better with a shared suit, by 2.19 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | A7s wins | Ties | JTs wins | A7s equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 56.117 | 0.544 | 43.339 | 56.389 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 53.975 | 0.443 | 45.582 | 54.197 |
How often this matchup comes up
A7s against JTs is made up of 16 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0010% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 32 counting both seat orders, 0.0020%.
A worked example
To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. A7s is worth $109.50 on average (+$9.50); JTs is worth $90.50 (-$9.50).
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 545 for A7s, 450 for JTs and 5 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
JTs versus A7s is this same page seen from the other hand: 45.25% for JTs, 54.75% for A7s.
Keep exploring
Try As7s against JhTh in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 16 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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