A7s vs QTo: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, A7s finishes with 58.14% of the pot and QTo with 41.86%.

A7s

58.14%

Wins 57.93%, ties 0.43%

QTo

41.86%

Wins 41.64%, ties 0.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A7s against QTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A7s against QTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A7s57.9280.42941.64358.143
QTo41.6430.42957.92841.857

One side is a suited hand, the other is an offsuit hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

A 16.28 point lead is real, and QTo still takes about 417 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are 0.43% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Place 24 of 169 belongs to A7s and place 47 belongs to QTo in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A7s47,611,000353,00034,227,000
QTo34,227,000353,00047,611,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A7s against QTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A7s1.3891.7262.4010.720
QTo0.7202.4011.7261.389

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for A7s (74.62%); rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the worst (50.49%). A7s stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

A7s against QTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA7s winsTiesQTo winsA7s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.98850.4040.16149.43550.485
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04274.3070.63125.06274.622
Two-tone46.66757.5930.24842.15957.717
Monotone5.21254.0182.35643.62655.196
Paired17.09163.8460.62835.52664.160

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, A7s holds 60.98% and QTo holds 57.29%. Facing each other changes that by -2.84 points for A7s and -15.43 points for QTo.

A7s and QTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A7s, all flops58.14360.984-2.8410.95341
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher50.48560.984-10.4990.82784
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower74.62260.984+13.6381.22363
A7s, two-tone57.71760.984-3.2670.94643
A7s, monotone55.19660.984-5.7880.90509
A7s, paired64.16060.984+3.1761.05208
QTo, all flops41.85757.291-15.4340.73060
QTo, rainbow, ten or higher49.51557.291-7.7760.86427
QTo, rainbow, nine or lower25.37857.291-31.9130.44297
QTo, two-tone42.28357.291-15.0080.73804
QTo, monotone44.80457.291-12.4870.78204
QTo, paired35.84057.291-21.4510.62558

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, A7s has 57.79%; looking only at deals where they do not, 58.50%. A7s does better with no shared suit, by 0.71 points.

A7s against QTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA7s winsTiesQTo winsA7s equity
Share a suit2450.0057.5530.47041.97757.788
No shared suit2450.0058.3040.38741.30958.497

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 48 specific-card matchups (0.0030% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 96 once you count the seats both ways (0.0059%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $116.28 for A7s and $83.72 for QTo; the first side gains $16.28 per all-in and the second gives up $16.28.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 579 wins for A7s, 417 for QTo and 4 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, QTo against A7s, shows 41.86% for QTo and 58.14% for A7s. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

As7s against QhTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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