A7s vs K9s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A7s is ahead of K9s by 17.20 points of equity, 58.60% to 41.40%.

A7s

58.60%

Wins 58.36%, ties 0.47%

K9s

41.40%

Wins 41.17%, ties 0.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A7s against K9s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A7s against K9s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A7s58.3610.47441.16558.598
K9s41.1650.47458.36141.402

Each side holds one of the suited hands: A7s and K9s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Of every 100 boards, about 0.47 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Among the 169 starting hands, A7s is number 24 and K9s is number 29 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A7s15,989,000130,00011,278,000
K9s11,278,000130,00015,989,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

A7s against K9s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A7s1.4151.7132.4290.707
K9s0.7072.4291.7131.415

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

A7s prefers paired flops, where it holds 63.17%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 55.76%. A7s stays ahead on all five textures.

A7s against K9s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA7s winsTiesK9s winsA7s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.54358.3410.16141.49858.421
Rainbow, nine or lower6.36657.0350.62942.33657.350
Two-tone46.72757.3920.23242.37657.508
Monotone5.27354.0633.39642.54155.761
Paired17.09162.8560.62836.51663.170

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, A7s changes by -2.38 points (baseline 60.98%) and K9s by -18.59 points (baseline 59.99%).

A7s and K9s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A7s, all flops58.59860.984-2.3860.96087
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher58.42160.984-2.5630.95797
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower57.35060.984-3.6340.94041
A7s, two-tone57.50860.984-3.4760.94300
A7s, monotone55.76160.984-5.2230.91435
A7s, paired63.17060.984+2.1861.03585
K9s, all flops41.40259.988-18.5860.69017
K9s, rainbow, ten or higher41.57959.988-18.4090.69312
K9s, rainbow, nine or lower42.65059.988-17.3380.71098
K9s, two-tone42.49259.988-17.4960.70834
K9s, monotone44.23959.988-15.7490.73746
K9s, paired36.83059.988-23.1580.61396

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 4 share a suit (A7s at 60.64%) and 12 do not (57.92%). A7s does better with a shared suit, by 2.72 points.

A7s against K9s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA7s winsTiesK9s winsA7s equity
Share a suit425.0060.3660.54939.08560.641
No shared suit1275.0057.6920.44941.85957.917

How often this matchup comes up

A7s against K9s is made up of 16 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0010% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 32 counting both seat orders, 0.0020%.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average A7s takes back $117.20 of it, which is $17.20 more than it put in, and K9s takes back $82.80, $17.20 less than it put in.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 583 won outright by A7s, about 412 won outright by K9s and about 5 split.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From K9s' side the equity is 41.40%, and from A7s' side it is 58.60%.

As7s against Kh9h is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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