A9o vs 54s: preflop equity

If A9o and 54s get all the chips in before the flop, A9o owns 59.11% of the pot in the long run and 54s owns 40.89%.

A9o

59.11%

Wins 58.85%, ties 0.51%

54s

40.89%

Wins 40.64%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against 54s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against 54s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o58.8520.50840.64059.106
54s40.6400.50858.85240.894

The matchup pits an offsuit hand against a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A9o is ahead, but 54s is far from dead: it takes 406 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 0.51% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

The hand ranking puts A9o at 25 and 54s at 136 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o48,371,000418,00033,402,000
54s33,402,000418,00048,371,000

48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9o against 54s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.4451.6992.4610.692
54s0.6922.4611.6991.445

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures A9o's equity moves by 19.20 points, from 44.37% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 63.57% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 54s, the hand that is behind overall.

A9o against 54s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTies54s winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34163.4470.24336.31063.568
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68943.9500.84455.20644.372
Two-tone46.66757.1790.32942.49257.343
Monotone5.21256.2882.48041.23257.528
Paired17.09162.3540.67436.97262.691

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

Start from the random-hand figures, 60.77% for A9o and 41.45% for 54s. This opponent changes them by -1.66 and -0.56 points.

A9o and 54s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops59.10660.773-1.6670.97257
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher63.56860.773+2.7951.04599
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower44.37260.773-16.4010.73013
A9o, two-tone57.34360.773-3.4300.94356
A9o, monotone57.52860.773-3.2450.94660
A9o, paired62.69160.773+1.9181.03156
54s, all flops40.89441.453-0.5590.98651
54s, rainbow, ten or higher36.43241.453-5.0210.87887
54s, rainbow, nine or lower55.62841.453+14.1751.34195
54s, two-tone42.65741.453+1.2041.02904
54s, monotone42.47241.453+1.0191.02458
54s, paired37.30941.453-4.1440.90003

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and A9o holds 59.78%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 58.43%. A9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.35 points.

A9o against 54s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTies54s winsA9o equity
Share a suit2450.0059.5060.54839.94659.780
No shared suit2450.0058.1990.46841.33358.433

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. A9o is worth $118.22 on average (+$18.22); 54s is worth $81.78 (-$18.22).

Per 1,000 deals: A9o wins about 589, 54s wins about 406, and about 5 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 54s against A9o, shows 40.89% for 54s and 59.11% for A9o. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

The calculator link fills in As9h against 5d4d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 48 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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