A9o vs 65s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A9o is ahead of 65s by 17.22 points of equity, 58.61% to 41.39%.

A9o

58.61%

Wins 58.37%, ties 0.47%

65s

41.39%

Wins 41.16%, ties 0.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o58.3730.46541.16258.606
65s41.1620.46558.37341.394

One side is an offsuit hand, the other is a suited hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A9o is ahead, but 65s is far from dead: it takes 411 of every 1,000 deals outright. The tie share is 0.47%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

A9o ranks number 25 of 169 starting hands, and 65s ranks number 128, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o47,977,000382,00033,831,000
65s33,831,000382,00047,977,000

The total is exact: 48 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9o against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.4161.7132.4290.706
65s0.7062.4291.7131.416

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. A9o does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 63.95%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 39.64%. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 65s, the hand that is behind overall.

A9o against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTies65s winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.34163.8430.21335.94463.950
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68939.2870.69860.01539.636
Two-tone46.66756.6930.28343.02456.835
Monotone5.21255.9362.41241.65257.142
Paired17.09161.9460.66537.38962.279

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -2.16 points for A9o, from 60.77%, and -1.74 for 65s, from 43.13%.

A9o and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops58.60660.773-2.1670.96434
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher63.95060.773+3.1771.05228
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower39.63660.773-21.1370.65220
A9o, two-tone56.83560.773-3.9380.93520
A9o, monotone57.14260.773-3.6310.94025
A9o, paired62.27960.773+1.5061.02478
65s, all flops41.39443.133-1.7390.95968
65s, rainbow, ten or higher36.05043.133-7.0830.83579
65s, rainbow, nine or lower60.36443.133+17.2311.39949
65s, two-tone43.16543.133+0.0321.00074
65s, monotone42.85843.133-0.2750.99362
65s, paired37.72143.133-5.4120.87453

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and A9o holds 59.28%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 57.94%. A9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.34 points.

A9o against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTies65s winsA9o equity
Share a suit2450.0059.0220.50640.47259.275
No shared suit2450.0057.7240.42441.85257.936

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 48 are A9o in one seat and 65s in the other (0.0030%); with the seats swapped too, 96 (0.0059%).

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, A9o's average share is $117.22 (a gain of $17.22) and 65s' is $82.78 (a loss of $17.22).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 584 for A9o, 411 for 65s and 5 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

65s against A9o adds nothing new: it is 41.39% for 65s and 58.61% for A9o, the same figures reversed.

The calculator link fills in As9h against 6d5d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 48 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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