A9o vs A2s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, A9o finishes with 64.46% of the pot and A2s with 35.54%.

A9o

64.46%

Wins 56.87%, ties 15.17%

A2s

35.54%

Wins 27.96%, ties 15.17%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against A2s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against A2s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o56.87415.17427.95264.461
A2s27.95215.17456.87435.539

A9o and A2s are an offsuit hand and a suited hand, in that order. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

A 28.92 point lead is real, and A2s still takes about 279 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 15.17% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

A9o ranks number 25 of 169 starting hands, and A2s ranks number 46, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o35,059,0009,354,00017,230,000
A2s17,230,0009,354,00035,059,000

Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

A9o against A2s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.8141.7583.5780.551
A2s0.5513.5781.7581.814

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for A9o (68.27%); paired flops are the worst (60.94%). A9o stays ahead on all five textures.

A9o against A2s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTiesA2s winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.58861.12814.27824.59468.267
Rainbow, nine or lower6.36062.9673.71833.31564.826
Two-tone46.52758.39711.38730.21664.091
Monotone5.19255.68410.77133.54561.070
Paired17.33344.86932.13622.99560.937

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, A9o holds 60.77% and A2s holds 57.38%. Facing each other changes that by +3.69 points for A9o and -21.84 points for A2s.

A9o and A2s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops64.46160.773+3.6881.06068
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher68.26760.773+7.4941.12331
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower64.82660.773+4.0531.06669
A9o, two-tone64.09160.773+3.3181.05460
A9o, monotone61.07060.773+0.2971.00489
A9o, paired60.93760.773+0.1641.00270
A2s, all flops35.53957.379-21.8400.61937
A2s, rainbow, ten or higher31.73357.379-25.6460.55304
A2s, rainbow, nine or lower35.17457.379-22.2050.61301
A2s, two-tone35.90957.379-21.4700.62582
A2s, monotone38.93057.379-18.4490.67847
A2s, paired39.06357.379-18.3160.68079

Does a shared suit matter?

Of the deals of this matchup, 12 share a suit (A9o at 65.26%) and 24 do not (64.06%). A9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.20 points.

A9o against A2s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTiesA2s winsA9o equity
Share a suit1233.3357.58815.33427.07865.255
No shared suit2466.6756.51715.09428.38964.064

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are A9o in one seat and A2s in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average A9o takes back $128.92 of it, which is $28.92 more than it put in, and A2s takes back $71.08, $28.92 less than it put in.

Per 1,000 deals: A9o wins about 569, A2s wins about 279, and about 152 end in a split pot.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for A2s against A9o, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 35.54% and 64.46%.

Open the calculator with As9h against Ad2d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 36 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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