A9o vs A3s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, A9o is ahead of A3s by 28.02 points of equity, 64.01% to 35.99%.

A9o

64.01%

Wins 56.48%, ties 15.07%

A3s

35.99%

Wins 28.45%, ties 15.07%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o56.47615.07228.45264.012
A3s28.45215.07256.47635.988

A9o, an offsuit hand, plays A3s, a suited hand. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

A 28.02 point lead is real, and A3s still takes about 284 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 15.07% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, A9o is number 25 and A3s is number 38.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o34,813,0009,291,00017,539,000
A3s17,539,0009,291,00034,813,000

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9o against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.7791.7713.5150.562
A3s0.5623.5151.7711.779

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. A9o does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 67.98%, and worst on paired flops, at 60.60%. A9o stays ahead on all five textures.

A9o against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTiesA3s winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.58860.86314.22824.90967.977
Rainbow, nine or lower6.36061.6993.56534.73663.482
Two-tone46.52757.96911.31830.71363.628
Monotone5.19255.38610.70833.90660.740
Paired17.33344.65831.87423.46860.595

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 60.77% for A9o, 58.22% for A3s. Here the change is +3.24 and -22.23 points.

A9o and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops64.01260.773+3.2391.05330
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher67.97760.773+7.2041.11854
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower63.48260.773+2.7091.04458
A9o, two-tone63.62860.773+2.8551.04698
A9o, monotone60.74060.773-0.0330.99946
A9o, paired60.59560.773-0.1780.99707
A3s, all flops35.98858.220-22.2320.61814
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher32.02358.220-26.1970.55003
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower36.51858.220-21.7020.62724
A3s, two-tone36.37258.220-21.8480.62473
A3s, monotone39.26058.220-18.9600.67434
A3s, paired39.40558.220-18.8150.67683

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common A9o has 64.80% equity, and with none in common it has 63.62%. A9o does better with a shared suit, by 1.18 points.

A9o against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTiesA3s winsA9o equity
Share a suit1233.3357.18415.23127.58564.800
No shared suit2466.6756.12314.99228.88563.619

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are A9o in one seat and A3s in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $128.02 for A9o and $71.98 for A3s; the first side gains $28.02 per all-in and the second gives up $28.02.

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 565 wins for A9o, 284 for A3s and 151 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

A3s against A9o adds nothing new: it is 35.99% for A3s and 64.01% for A9o, the same figures reversed.

Try As9h against Ad3d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific A9o against A3s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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