A9o vs QJo: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 57.00% for A9o and 43.00% for QJo, so A9o leads by 14.00 points.

A9o

57.00%

Wins 56.79%, ties 0.43%

QJo

43.00%

Wins 42.78%, ties 0.43%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9o against QJo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9o against QJo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9o56.7870.43042.78357.002
QJo42.7830.43056.78742.998

Both hands are offsuit hands: A9o and QJo. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Split pots make up 0.43% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.

A9o ranks number 25 of 169 starting hands, and QJo ranks number 39, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 246,571,776 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9o140,021,0001,060,000105,491,000
QJo105,491,0001,060,000140,021,000

144 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9o against QJo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9o1.3261.7612.3370.754
QJo0.7542.3371.7611.326

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, A9o peaks at 74.70% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and bottoms out at 50.37% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. A9o stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

A9o against QJo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9o winsTiesQJo winsA9o equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.11050.3050.12149.57450.366
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04274.2150.97124.81474.700
Two-tone46.60655.5800.30044.12055.730
Monotone5.15153.6581.69044.65254.503
Paired17.09162.9860.61636.39863.294

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts A9o from 60.77% by -3.77 points and QJo from 58.14% by -15.14 points.

A9o and QJo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9o, all flops57.00260.773-3.7710.93795
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher50.36660.773-10.4070.82876
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower74.70060.773+13.9271.22916
A9o, two-tone55.73060.773-5.0430.91702
A9o, monotone54.50360.773-6.2700.89683
A9o, paired63.29460.773+2.5211.04148
QJo, all flops42.99858.135-15.1370.73962
QJo, rainbow, ten or higher49.63458.135-8.5010.85377
QJo, rainbow, nine or lower25.30058.135-32.8350.43519
QJo, two-tone44.27058.135-13.8650.76150
QJo, monotone45.49758.135-12.6380.78261
QJo, paired36.70658.135-21.4290.63139

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? A9o has 57.01% when the hands share a suit and 56.96% when they do not. The two rows differ by only 0.05 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

A9o against QJo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9o winsTiesQJo winsA9o equity
Share a suit12083.3356.7870.44642.76757.010
No shared suit2416.6756.7870.35142.86256.963

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 144 specific-card matchups (0.0089% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 288 once you count the seats both ways (0.0177%).

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: A9o averages $114.00 back, ahead of its $100 by $14.00, while QJo averages $86.00, short of its $100 by $14.00.

Think in thousands: about 568 of 1,000 go to A9o, about 428 go to QJo, and about 4 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, QJo against A9o, shows 43.00% for QJo and 57.00% for A9o. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

The calculator link fills in As9h against QdJc, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 144 specific A9o against QJo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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