A9s vs 53s: preflop equity

The exact count puts A9s at 62.59% and 53s at 37.41% when the two hands see all five board cards.

A9s

62.59%

Wins 62.31%, ties 0.56%

53s

37.41%

Wins 37.13%, ties 0.56%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9s against 53s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9s against 53s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9s62.3140.55637.13062.592
53s37.1300.55662.31437.408

Two suited hands meet here: A9s against 53s. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

A9s is ahead, but 53s is far from dead: it takes 371 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.56% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, A9s is number 18 and 53s is number 146.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9s17,072,000152,00010,172,000
53s10,172,000152,00017,072,000

16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

A9s against 53s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9s1.6731.6052.6930.598
53s0.5982.6931.6051.673

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for A9s (65.91%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (48.08%). 53s takes over on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.

A9s against 53s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9s winsTies53s winsA9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher25.22065.7870.23933.97465.907
Rainbow, nine or lower5.68947.6710.81551.51448.079
Two-tone46.72761.5750.31238.11361.731
Monotone5.27357.8973.55938.54459.677
Paired17.09165.4460.67833.87665.785

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give A9s 62.78% and 53s 39.69%. Against each other the change is -0.19 points for A9s and -2.28 for 53s.

A9s and 53s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9s, all flops62.59262.781-0.1890.99699
A9s, rainbow, ten or higher65.90762.781+3.1261.04979
A9s, rainbow, nine or lower48.07962.781-14.7020.76582
A9s, two-tone61.73162.781-1.0500.98328
A9s, monotone59.67762.781-3.1040.95056
A9s, paired65.78562.781+3.0041.04785
53s, all flops37.40839.693-2.2850.94243
53s, rainbow, ten or higher34.09339.693-5.6000.85892
53s, rainbow, nine or lower51.92139.693+12.2281.30806
53s, two-tone38.26939.693-1.4240.96412
53s, monotone40.32339.693+0.6301.01587
53s, paired34.21539.693-5.4780.86199

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give A9s 64.89% when the hands overlap in a suit and 61.83% when they do not. A9s does better with a shared suit, by 3.06 points.

A9s against 53s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9s winsTies53s winsA9s equity
Share a suit425.0064.5680.63534.79764.885
No shared suit1275.0061.5630.53037.90761.828

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 16 specific-card matchups (0.0010% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 32 once you count the seats both ways (0.0020%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. A9s' equity of 62.59% is worth $125.18, a $25.18 edge, and 53s' 37.41% is worth $74.82, which is $25.18 under its stake.

A thousand deals look like this: A9s takes 623, 53s takes 371, 6 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for 53s against A9s, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 37.41% and 62.59%.

The calculator link fills in As9s against 5h3h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific A9s against 53s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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