A9s vs A3s: preflop equity

Dealt all in against each other, A9s takes 65.61% of the pot on average and A3s takes the other 34.39%.

A9s

65.61%

Wins 58.49%, ties 14.25%

A3s

34.39%

Wins 27.26%, ties 14.25%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

A9s against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for A9s against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
A9s58.48514.25027.26565.610
A3s27.26514.25058.48534.390

This is a contest between two suited hands, A9s and A3s. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

That is a clear edge, 65.61% to 34.39%, but A3s still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are part of the picture: 14.25% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Place 18 of 169 belongs to A9s and place 38 belongs to A3s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
A9s12,017,0002,928,0005,602,000
A3s5,602,0002,928,00012,017,000

Exact total: 12 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

A9s against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
A9s1.9081.7103.6680.524
A3s0.5243.6681.7101.908

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: A9s holds 68.89% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 61.29% on monotone flops. A9s stays ahead on all five textures.

A9s against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsA9s winsTiesA3s winsA9s equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.52661.97513.82924.19668.890
Rainbow, nine or lower6.38363.0193.40733.57464.723
Two-tone46.54360.46710.48029.05365.707
Monotone5.21556.03010.51733.45361.289
Paired17.33347.29530.08222.62362.336

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, A9s holds 62.78% and A3s holds 58.22%. Facing each other changes that by +2.83 points for A9s and -23.83 points for A3s.

A9s and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
A9s, all flops65.61062.781+2.8291.04506
A9s, rainbow, ten or higher68.89062.781+6.1091.09731
A9s, rainbow, nine or lower64.72362.781+1.9421.03093
A9s, two-tone65.70762.781+2.9261.04661
A9s, monotone61.28962.781-1.4920.97623
A9s, paired62.33662.781-0.4450.99291
A3s, all flops34.39058.220-23.8300.59069
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher31.11058.220-27.1100.53435
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower35.27758.220-22.9430.60593
A3s, two-tone34.29358.220-23.9270.58902
A3s, monotone38.71158.220-19.5090.66491
A3s, paired37.66458.220-20.5560.64693

Does a shared suit matter?

There is no shared-suit case for this pair, since the cards they would need are already in the other hand. Every deal is a no-shared-suit deal.

A9s against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsA9s winsTiesA3s winsA9s equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0058.48514.25027.26565.610

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 12 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0007% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 24, or 0.0015%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, A9s' average share is $131.22 (a gain of $31.22) and A3s' is $68.78 (a loss of $31.22).

Scaled to 1,000 deals, that is roughly 585 wins for A9s, 273 for A3s and 142 chopped pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A3s' side the equity is 34.39%, and from A9s' side it is 65.61%.

Open the calculator with As9s against Ah3h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 12 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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