ATo
66.64%
Wins 61.45%, ties 10.38%
A3s
33.36%
Wins 28.17%, ties 10.38%
ATo against A3s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 61.453 | 10.381 | 28.166 | 66.643 |
| A3s | 28.166 | 10.381 | 61.453 | 33.357 |
ATo is an offsuit hand and A3s is a suited hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.
ATo is the clear favorite, though A3s gets there on roughly one board in 3. Split pots make up 10.38% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
The hand ranking puts ATo at 19 and A3s at 38 out of 169 starting hands.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 37,881,000 | 6,399,000 | 17,362,000 |
| A3s | 17,362,000 | 6,399,000 | 37,881,000 |
The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo | 1.998 | 1.627 | 3.550 | 0.501 |
| A3s | 0.501 | 3.550 | 1.627 | 1.998 |
The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.
Who is ahead on which flops
Across the five flop textures ATo's equity moves by 18.00 points, from 55.68% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 73.68% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. ATo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | ATo wins | Ties | A3s wins | ATo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.905 | 69.342 | 8.681 | 21.977 | 73.682 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 53.588 | 4.182 | 42.230 | 55.679 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 62.365 | 7.243 | 30.392 | 65.986 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 58.658 | 7.673 | 33.669 | 62.495 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 52.158 | 24.475 | 23.367 | 64.396 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 62.72% for ATo, 58.22% for A3s. Here the change is +3.92 and -24.86 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATo, all flops | 66.643 | 62.722 | +3.921 | 1.06251 |
| ATo, rainbow, ten or higher | 73.682 | 62.722 | +10.960 | 1.17474 |
| ATo, rainbow, nine or lower | 55.679 | 62.722 | -7.043 | 0.88771 |
| ATo, two-tone | 65.986 | 62.722 | +3.264 | 1.05204 |
| ATo, monotone | 62.495 | 62.722 | -0.227 | 0.99638 |
| ATo, paired | 64.396 | 62.722 | +1.674 | 1.02669 |
| A3s, all flops | 33.357 | 58.220 | -24.863 | 0.57295 |
| A3s, rainbow, ten or higher | 26.318 | 58.220 | -31.902 | 0.45204 |
| A3s, rainbow, nine or lower | 44.321 | 58.220 | -13.899 | 0.76127 |
| A3s, two-tone | 34.014 | 58.220 | -24.206 | 0.58423 |
| A3s, monotone | 37.505 | 58.220 | -20.715 | 0.64419 |
| A3s, paired | 35.604 | 58.220 | -22.616 | 0.61154 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and ATo holds 67.45%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 66.24%. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.21 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | ATo wins | Ties | A3s wins | ATo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 62.192 | 10.512 | 27.296 | 67.448 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 61.083 | 10.315 | 28.602 | 66.241 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are ATo in one seat and A3s in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, ATo's average share is $133.28 (a gain of $33.28) and A3s' is $66.72 (a loss of $33.28).
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 614 won outright by ATo, about 282 won outright by A3s and about 104 split.
The same matchup from the other side
A3s versus ATo is this same page seen from the other hand: 33.36% for A3s, 66.64% for ATo.
Keep exploring
AsTh against Ad3d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 36 ways to deal one ATo and one A3s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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