AA vs 55: preflop equity

If AA and 55 get all the chips in before the flop, AA owns 80.89% of the pot in the long run and 55 owns 19.11%.

AA

80.89%

Wins 80.68%, ties 0.41%

55

19.11%

Wins 18.91%, ties 0.41%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AA against 55: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AA against 55, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AA80.6820.41318.90580.889
5518.9050.41380.68219.111

The matchup is pocket pairs on both sides, AA against 55. Two pairs against each other is a one-way street: the lower pair needs one of its two remaining cards.

AA is a big favorite here before anyone sees a flop. About 0.41% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

For context, AA sits at number 1 of 169 starting hands and 55 at number 27 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AA49,735,000255,00011,654,000
5511,654,000255,00049,735,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AA against 55 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AA4.2331.2395.2900.236
550.2365.2901.2394.233

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, AA's equity runs from 66.21% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 86.72% on paired flops. AA stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AA against 55 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAA winsTies55 winsAA equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59583.7400.28715.97383.884
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31465.7510.92333.32666.213
Two-tone46.36379.5100.40020.09079.710
Monotone5.15274.3441.89823.75875.293
Paired17.57686.7130.00713.28086.717

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Each hand has a baseline against a random hand: 85.20% for AA, 60.33% for 55. Here the change is -4.31 and -41.22 points.

AA and 55 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AA, all flops80.88985.204-4.3150.94936
AA, rainbow, ten or higher83.88485.204-1.3200.98451
AA, rainbow, nine or lower66.21385.204-18.9910.77711
AA, two-tone79.71085.204-5.4940.93552
AA, monotone75.29385.204-9.9110.88368
AA, paired86.71785.204+1.5131.01776
55, all flops19.11160.325-41.2140.31680
55, rainbow, ten or higher16.11660.325-44.2090.26715
55, rainbow, nine or lower33.78760.325-26.5380.56008
55, two-tone20.29060.325-40.0350.33634
55, monotone24.70760.325-35.6180.40956
55, paired13.28360.325-47.0420.22019

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AA has 81.02% equity, and with none in common it has 80.23%. AA does better with a shared suit, by 0.79 points.

AA against 55 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAA winsTies55 winsAA equity
Share a suit3083.3380.8070.42818.76581.021
No shared suit616.6780.0560.33919.60580.226

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 36 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0022% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 72, or 0.0044%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. AA's equity of 80.89% is worth $161.78, a $61.78 edge, and 55's 19.11% is worth $38.22, which is $61.78 under its stake.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 807 for AA, 189 for 55 and 4 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 55 against AA, is 19.11% to 80.89%, and its address redirects to this page.

Open the calculator with AsAh against 5d5c already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

All 1,712,304 five-card boards are dealt for every suit pattern among the 36 specific deals of AA against 55, and both hands are scored on each. That is a full count, so the percentages are exact. Ties are half a win each, and each board appears once per flop it contains.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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