AJo vs A3s: preflop equity

In equity, AJo against A3s stands at 67.93% to 32.07%, a gap of 35.86 points.

AJo

67.93%

Wins 64.08%, ties 7.72%

A3s

32.07%

Wins 28.20%, ties 7.72%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AJo against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AJo against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AJo64.0767.71628.20867.934
A3s28.2087.71664.07632.066

AJo, an offsuit hand, plays A3s, a suited hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

AJo is well ahead, and A3s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are 7.72% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

AJo ranks number 15 of 169 starting hands, and A3s ranks number 38, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AJo39,498,0004,756,00017,388,000
A3s17,388,0004,756,00039,498,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AJo against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AJo2.1191.5613.5450.472
A3s0.4723.5451.5612.119

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Across the five flop textures AJo's equity moves by 19.84 points, from 55.34% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) to 75.18% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AJo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AJo against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAJo winsTiesA3s winsAJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90572.3385.68521.97775.180
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04253.1434.39442.46355.340
Two-tone46.52764.4405.11830.44266.999
Monotone5.19260.2506.03933.71163.270
Paired17.33457.29219.34123.36766.963

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, AJo changes by +4.37 points (baseline 63.56%) and A3s by -26.15 points (baseline 58.22%).

AJo and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AJo, all flops67.93463.563+4.3711.06877
AJo, rainbow, ten or higher75.18063.563+11.6171.18276
AJo, rainbow, nine or lower55.34063.563-8.2230.87063
AJo, two-tone66.99963.563+3.4361.05406
AJo, monotone63.27063.563-0.2930.99539
AJo, paired66.96363.563+3.4001.05349
A3s, all flops32.06658.220-26.1540.55077
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher24.82058.220-33.4000.42631
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower44.66058.220-13.5600.76709
A3s, two-tone33.00158.220-25.2190.56683
A3s, monotone36.73058.220-21.4900.63088
A3s, paired33.03758.220-25.1830.56745

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? AJo has 68.75% when the hands share a suit and 67.53% when they do not. AJo does better with a shared suit, by 1.22 points.

AJo against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAJo winsTiesA3s winsAJo equity
Share a suit1233.3364.8357.82527.34068.748
No shared suit2466.6763.6967.66128.64367.527

How often this matchup comes up

AJo against A3s is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AJo is worth $135.86 on average (+$35.86); A3s is worth $64.14 (-$35.86).

A thousand deals look like this: AJo takes 641, A3s takes 282, 77 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

A3s versus AJo is this same page seen from the other hand: 32.07% for A3s, 67.93% for AJo.

Try AsJh against Ad3d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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