AJo vs KQo: preflop equity

The exact count puts AJo at 59.76% and KQo at 40.24% when the two hands see all five board cards.

AJo

59.76%

Wins 59.53%, ties 0.47%

KQo

40.24%

Wins 40.00%, ties 0.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AJo against KQo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AJo against KQo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AJo59.5280.46840.00459.762
KQo40.0040.46859.52840.238

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, AJo and KQo. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

AJo is ahead, but KQo is far from dead: it takes 400 of every 1,000 deals outright. 0.47% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

The hand ranking puts AJo at 15 and KQo at 23 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 246,571,776 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AJo146,779,0001,154,00098,639,000
KQo98,639,0001,154,000146,779,000

The total is exact: 144 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AJo against KQo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AJo1.4851.6802.5000.673
KQo0.6732.5001.6801.485

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for AJo (75.92%); rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the worst (53.36%). AJo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AJo against KQo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAJo winsTiesKQo winsAJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.38153.3250.07446.60153.362
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77175.2961.24123.46375.916
Two-tone46.60658.5730.34941.07858.748
Monotone5.15155.8951.72442.38156.757
Paired17.09164.5440.60034.85664.844

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, AJo holds 63.56% and KQo holds 61.46%. Facing each other changes that by -3.80 points for AJo and -21.22 points for KQo.

AJo and KQo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AJo, all flops59.76263.563-3.8010.94020
AJo, rainbow, ten or higher53.36263.563-10.2010.83951
AJo, rainbow, nine or lower75.91663.563+12.3531.19434
AJo, two-tone58.74863.563-4.8150.92425
AJo, monotone56.75763.563-6.8060.89293
AJo, paired64.84463.563+1.2811.02015
KQo, all flops40.23861.456-21.2180.65474
KQo, rainbow, ten or higher46.63861.456-14.8180.75888
KQo, rainbow, nine or lower24.08461.456-37.3720.39189
KQo, two-tone41.25261.456-20.2040.67124
KQo, monotone43.24361.456-18.2130.70364
KQo, paired35.15661.456-26.3000.57205

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, AJo holds 59.78%; when they do not, it holds 59.68%. The two rows differ by only 0.10 points, so suits barely change this matchup.

AJo against KQo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAJo winsTiesKQo winsAJo equity
Share a suit12083.3359.5370.48439.97959.779
No shared suit2416.6759.4830.38840.12959.677

How often this matchup comes up

How often does it happen? 144 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0089%) are AJo against KQo, and 288 (0.0177%) if either hand may sit in either seat.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AJo is worth $119.52 on average (+$19.52); KQo is worth $80.48 (-$19.52).

Think in thousands: about 595 of 1,000 go to AJo, about 400 go to KQo, and about 5 are chopped.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: KQo against AJo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so KQo holds 40.24% and AJo holds 59.76%. That address sends you back to this page.

Open the calculator with AsJh against KdQc already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 144 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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