AJo vs QJs: preflop equity

The exact count puts AJo at 68.77% and QJs at 31.23% when the two hands see all five board cards.

AJo

68.77%

Wins 68.05%, ties 1.44%

QJs

31.23%

Wins 30.51%, ties 1.44%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AJo against QJs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AJo against QJs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AJo68.0491.43730.51468.768
QJs30.5141.43768.04931.232

The first hand is an offsuit hand; the second is a suited hand. The two hands share a rank, and the one with the better other card dominates: it wins most kicker battles when that shared rank hits.

That is a clear edge, 68.77% to 31.23%, but QJs still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. About 1.44% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

The hand ranking puts AJo at 15 and QJs at 28 out of 169 starting hands.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AJo41,947,000886,00018,810,000
QJs18,810,000886,00041,947,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AJo against QJs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AJo2.2021.4703.2770.454
QJs0.4543.2771.4702.202

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for AJo (81.38%); monotone flops are the worst (64.32%). AJo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AJo against QJs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAJo winsTiesQJs winsAJo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.17765.8911.24032.86966.511
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77180.7231.31317.96481.379
Two-tone46.52766.2471.17432.57966.834
Monotone5.19262.9032.82734.27064.317
Paired17.33371.6342.04726.31972.658

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give AJo 63.56% and QJs 60.26%. Against each other the change is +5.21 points for AJo and -29.03 for QJs.

AJo and QJs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AJo, all flops68.76863.563+5.2051.08189
AJo, rainbow, ten or higher66.51163.563+2.9481.04638
AJo, rainbow, nine or lower81.37963.563+17.8161.28029
AJo, two-tone66.83463.563+3.2711.05146
AJo, monotone64.31763.563+0.7541.01186
AJo, paired72.65863.563+9.0951.14309
QJs, all flops31.23260.259-29.0270.51830
QJs, rainbow, ten or higher33.48960.259-26.7700.55575
QJs, rainbow, nine or lower18.62160.259-41.6380.30902
QJs, two-tone33.16660.259-27.0930.55039
QJs, monotone35.68360.259-24.5760.59216
QJs, paired27.34260.259-32.9170.45374

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give AJo 69.80% when the hands overlap in a suit and 68.25% when they do not. AJo does better with a shared suit, by 1.55 points.

AJo against QJs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAJo winsTiesQJs winsAJo equity
Share a suit1233.3369.0501.50729.44369.803
No shared suit2466.6767.5491.40231.04968.250

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AJo averages $137.54 from the $200, up $37.54; QJs averages $62.46, down $37.54.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 681 for AJo, 305 for QJs and 14 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From QJs' side the equity is 31.23%, and from AJo's side it is 68.77%.

AsJh against QdJd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 36 deals of AJo against QJs fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session