AJs vs A3s: preflop equity

In equity, AJs against A3s stands at 69.28% to 30.72%, a gap of 38.56 points.

AJs

69.28%

Wins 65.60%, ties 7.36%

A3s

30.72%

Wins 27.04%, ties 7.36%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AJs against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AJs against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AJs65.6027.35527.04369.279
A3s27.0437.35565.60230.721

The matchup is suited hands on both sides, AJs against A3s. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

AJs is well ahead, and A3s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. 7.36% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.

By strength against a random hand, AJs holds place 11 of 169 and A3s holds place 38.

Boards behind the percentages: 20,547,648 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AJs13,480,0001,511,0005,557,000
A3s5,557,0001,511,00013,480,000

Exact total: 12 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AJs against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AJs2.2551.5243.6980.443
A3s0.4433.6981.5242.255

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AJs holds 75.83% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 56.94% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AJs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AJs against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAJs winsTiesA3s winsAJs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.86773.0585.53821.40475.827
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04254.8344.21540.95156.941
Two-tone46.54366.4114.77728.81268.799
Monotone5.21560.3056.41833.27763.514
Paired17.33359.13118.33922.53068.300

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give AJs 65.39% and A3s 58.22%. Against each other the change is +3.89 points for AJs and -27.50 for A3s.

AJs and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AJs, all flops69.27965.393+3.8861.05943
AJs, rainbow, ten or higher75.82765.393+10.4341.15956
AJs, rainbow, nine or lower56.94165.393-8.4520.87075
AJs, two-tone68.79965.393+3.4061.05209
AJs, monotone63.51465.393-1.8790.97127
AJs, paired68.30065.393+2.9071.04445
A3s, all flops30.72158.220-27.4990.52767
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher24.17358.220-34.0470.41520
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower43.05958.220-15.1610.73959
A3s, two-tone31.20158.220-27.0190.53592
A3s, monotone36.48658.220-21.7340.62669
A3s, paired31.70058.220-26.5200.54449

Does a shared suit matter?

AJs and A3s never overlap in suit in a legal deal, so the whole matchup sits in the no-shared-suit row.

AJs against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAJs winsTiesA3s winsAJs equity
Share a suit00.00not possiblenot possiblenot possiblenot possible
No shared suit12100.0065.6027.35527.04369.279

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0015% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 24 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says AJs gets $138.56 of it on average and A3s gets $61.44.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 656 won outright by AJs, about 270 won outright by A3s and about 74 split.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A3s' side the equity is 30.72%, and from AJs' side it is 69.28%.

Open the calculator with AsJs against Ah3h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 12 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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