AJs vs A9o: preflop equity

The exact count puts AJs at 74.20% and A9o at 25.80% when the two hands see all five board cards.

AJs

74.20%

Wins 70.46%, ties 7.47%

A9o

25.80%

Wins 22.07%, ties 7.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AJs against A9o: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AJs against A9o, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AJs70.4627.46822.07074.196
A9o22.0707.46870.46225.804

AJs and A9o are a suited hand and an offsuit hand, in that order. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

AJs is the clear favorite, though A9o gets there on roughly one board in 4. Ties are 7.47% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Place 11 of 169 belongs to AJs and place 25 belongs to A9o in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AJs43,435,0004,603,00013,605,000
A9o13,605,0004,603,00043,435,000

The board total is exact, 36 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

AJs against A9o read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AJs2.8751.4194.5310.348
A9o0.3484.5311.4192.875

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, AJs' equity runs from 62.31% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 78.87% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AJs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AJs against A9o by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAJs winsTiesA9o winsAJs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90576.0995.53218.36978.865
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04260.1274.36335.51062.308
Two-tone46.52772.6824.99022.32875.177
Monotone5.19264.2755.88829.83767.219
Paired17.33462.78218.52718.69172.045

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, AJs holds 65.39% and A9o holds 60.77%. Facing each other changes that by +8.81 points for AJs and -34.97 points for A9o.

AJs and A9o here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AJs, all flops74.19665.393+8.8031.13462
AJs, rainbow, ten or higher78.86565.393+13.4721.20602
AJs, rainbow, nine or lower62.30865.393-3.0850.95282
AJs, two-tone75.17765.393+9.7841.14962
AJs, monotone67.21965.393+1.8261.02792
AJs, paired72.04565.393+6.6521.10172
A9o, all flops25.80460.773-34.9690.42460
A9o, rainbow, ten or higher21.13560.773-39.6380.34777
A9o, rainbow, nine or lower37.69260.773-23.0810.62021
A9o, two-tone24.82360.773-35.9500.40845
A9o, monotone32.78160.773-27.9920.53940
A9o, paired27.95560.773-32.8180.45999

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and AJs holds 73.94%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 74.33%. AJs does better with no shared suit, by 0.39 points.

AJs against A9o by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAJs winsTiesA9o winsAJs equity
Share a suit1233.3370.1567.56122.28373.936
No shared suit2466.6770.6157.42221.96374.326

How often this matchup comes up

AJs against A9o is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AJs takes back $148.40 of it, which is $48.40 more than it put in, and A9o takes back $51.60, $48.40 less than it put in.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 704 outright wins for AJs, 221 for A9o, and 75 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From A9o's side the equity is 25.80%, and from AJs' side it is 74.20%.

AsJs against Ah9d is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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