AJs
72.40%
Wins 71.53%, ties 1.74%
JTo
27.60%
Wins 26.73%, ties 1.74%
AJs against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 71.534 | 1.741 | 26.725 | 72.404 |
| JTo | 26.725 | 1.741 | 71.534 | 27.596 |
One side is a suited hand, the other is an offsuit hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
A lead of 44.80 points is large but not decisive: JTo still takes about 267 of every 1,000 deals. Split pots make up 1.74% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
AJs ranks number 11 of 169 starting hands, and JTo ranks number 57, by equity against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 44,096,000 | 1,073,000 | 16,474,000 |
| JTo | 16,474,000 | 1,073,000 | 44,096,000 |
Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs | 2.624 | 1.398 | 3.742 | 0.381 |
| JTo | 0.381 | 3.742 | 1.398 | 2.624 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for AJs (79.63%); monotone flops are the worst (65.22%). AJs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AJs wins | Ties | JTo wins | AJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 68.108 | 1.645 | 30.247 | 68.930 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 78.850 | 1.551 | 19.599 | 79.626 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 71.303 | 1.495 | 27.202 | 72.051 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 63.704 | 3.041 | 33.255 | 65.224 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 75.797 | 2.228 | 21.975 | 76.911 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
A random hand would give AJs 65.39% and JTo 55.25%. Against each other the change is +7.01 points for AJs and -27.65 for JTo.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJs, all flops | 72.404 | 65.393 | +7.011 | 1.10721 |
| AJs, rainbow, ten or higher | 68.930 | 65.393 | +3.537 | 1.05409 |
| AJs, rainbow, nine or lower | 79.626 | 65.393 | +14.233 | 1.21765 |
| AJs, two-tone | 72.051 | 65.393 | +6.658 | 1.10182 |
| AJs, monotone | 65.224 | 65.393 | -0.169 | 0.99742 |
| AJs, paired | 76.911 | 65.393 | +11.518 | 1.17614 |
| JTo, all flops | 27.596 | 55.248 | -27.652 | 0.49949 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 31.070 | 55.248 | -24.178 | 0.56237 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 20.374 | 55.248 | -34.874 | 0.36877 |
| JTo, two-tone | 27.949 | 55.248 | -27.299 | 0.50588 |
| JTo, monotone | 34.776 | 55.248 | -20.472 | 0.62945 |
| JTo, paired | 23.089 | 55.248 | -32.159 | 0.41792 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 72.15% for AJs with a shared suit and 72.53% without one. AJs does better with no shared suit, by 0.38 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AJs wins | Ties | JTo wins | AJs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 71.227 | 1.840 | 26.933 | 72.147 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 71.687 | 1.692 | 26.621 | 72.533 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, AJs against JTo appears in 36 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0022%), and in 72 when the seats are swapped too (0.0044%).
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AJs averages $144.80 from the $200, up $44.80; JTo averages $55.20, down $44.80.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 715 for AJs, 267 for JTo and 18 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, JTo against AJs, shows 27.60% for JTo and 72.40% for AJs. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
AsJs against JhTd is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 36 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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