AKo vs A5s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 68.46% for AKo and 31.54% for A5s, so AKo leads by 36.92 points.

AKo

68.46%

Wins 66.19%, ties 4.54%

A5s

31.54%

Wins 29.27%, ties 4.54%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against A5s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against A5s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo66.1904.53729.27368.458
A5s29.2734.53766.19031.542

The matchup pits an offsuit hand against a suited hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

AKo is well ahead, and A5s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are part of the picture: 4.54% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Place 12 of 169 belongs to AKo and place 30 belongs to A5s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo40,801,0002,797,00018,045,000
A5s18,045,0002,797,00040,801,000

Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AKo against A5s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo2.1701.5113.4160.461
A5s0.4613.4161.5112.170

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the best for AKo (76.13%); low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the worst (52.45%). AKo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AKo against A5s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesA5s winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90574.8992.46722.63476.132
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04250.3184.26145.42152.448
Two-tone46.52765.7572.71631.52767.115
Monotone5.19261.4424.05134.50763.468
Paired17.33463.21012.54124.24969.481

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 65.32%, AKo changes by +3.14 points, and A5s, from 59.92%, by -28.38.

AKo and A5s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops68.45865.320+3.1381.04804
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher76.13265.320+10.8121.16552
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower52.44865.320-12.8720.80294
AKo, two-tone67.11565.320+1.7951.02748
AKo, monotone63.46865.320-1.8520.97165
AKo, paired69.48165.320+4.1611.06370
A5s, all flops31.54259.923-28.3810.52638
A5s, rainbow, ten or higher23.86859.923-36.0550.39831
A5s, rainbow, nine or lower47.55259.923-12.3710.79355
A5s, two-tone32.88559.923-27.0380.54879
A5s, monotone36.53259.923-23.3910.60965
A5s, paired30.51959.923-29.4040.50930

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give AKo 69.27% when the hands overlap in a suit and 68.05% when they do not. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 1.22 points.

AKo against A5s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesA5s winsAKo equity
Share a suit1233.3366.9624.61628.42269.270
No shared suit2466.6765.8044.49829.69868.053

How often this matchup comes up

Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 36 are AKo in one seat and A5s in the other (0.0022%); with the seats swapped too, 72 (0.0044%).

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. AKo's equity of 68.46% is worth $136.92, a $36.92 edge, and A5s' 31.54% is worth $63.08, which is $36.92 under its stake.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 662 for AKo, 293 for A5s and 45 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

A5s against AKo adds nothing new: it is 31.54% for A5s and 68.46% for AKo, the same figures reversed.

The calculator link fills in AsKh against Ad5d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 36 ways to deal one AKo and one A5s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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