AKo
74.12%
Wins 73.55%, ties 1.13%
KTo
25.88%
Wins 25.32%, ties 1.13%
AKo against KTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 73.554 | 1.131 | 25.315 | 74.119 |
| KTo | 25.315 | 1.131 | 73.554 | 25.881 |
Here offsuit hands face each other, AKo on one side and KTo on the other. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
That is a clear edge, 74.12% to 25.88%, but KTo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Of every 100 boards, about 1.13 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKo is number 12 of the 169 starting hands and KTo is number 33.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 136,023,000 | 2,092,000 | 46,815,000 |
| KTo | 46,815,000 | 2,092,000 | 136,023,000 |
Exact total: 108 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo | 2.864 | 1.360 | 3.950 | 0.349 |
| KTo | 0.349 | 3.950 | 1.360 | 2.864 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AKo holds 84.53% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 70.11% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AKo stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKo wins | Ties | KTo wins | AKo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.275 | 69.690 | 0.837 | 29.473 | 70.108 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 84.001 | 1.060 | 14.939 | 84.531 |
| Two-tone | 46.477 | 72.920 | 0.861 | 26.219 | 73.350 |
| Monotone | 5.144 | 69.232 | 1.971 | 28.797 | 70.217 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 77.041 | 2.035 | 20.924 | 78.059 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +8.80 points for AKo, from 65.32%, and -33.86 for KTo, from 59.74%.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKo, all flops | 74.119 | 65.320 | +8.799 | 1.13471 |
| AKo, rainbow, ten or higher | 70.108 | 65.320 | +4.788 | 1.07330 |
| AKo, rainbow, nine or lower | 84.531 | 65.320 | +19.211 | 1.29411 |
| AKo, two-tone | 73.350 | 65.320 | +8.030 | 1.12293 |
| AKo, monotone | 70.217 | 65.320 | +4.897 | 1.07497 |
| AKo, paired | 78.059 | 65.320 | +12.739 | 1.19502 |
| KTo, all flops | 25.881 | 59.739 | -33.858 | 0.43323 |
| KTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 29.892 | 59.739 | -29.847 | 0.50038 |
| KTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 15.469 | 59.739 | -44.270 | 0.25894 |
| KTo, two-tone | 26.650 | 59.739 | -33.089 | 0.44611 |
| KTo, monotone | 29.783 | 59.739 | -29.956 | 0.49855 |
| KTo, paired | 21.941 | 59.739 | -37.798 | 0.36728 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give AKo 74.29% when the hands overlap in a suit and 73.53% when they do not. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.76 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKo wins | Ties | KTo wins | AKo equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 84 | 77.78 | 73.713 | 1.153 | 25.134 | 74.289 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 22.22 | 72.997 | 1.055 | 25.948 | 73.525 |
How often this matchup comes up
Counting specific cards, AKo against KTo appears in 108 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0066%), and in 216 when the seats are swapped too (0.0133%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AKo takes back $148.24 of it, which is $48.24 more than it put in, and KTo takes back $51.76, $48.24 less than it put in.
In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 736 won outright by AKo, about 253 won outright by KTo and about 11 split.
The same matchup from the other side
The reversed view, KTo against AKo, shows 25.88% for KTo and 74.12% for AKo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.
Keep exploring
AsKh against KdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.
How this was computed
Method: exact enumeration. The 108 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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