AKo vs KTo: preflop equity

The exact count puts AKo at 74.12% and KTo at 25.88% when the two hands see all five board cards.

AKo

74.12%

Wins 73.55%, ties 1.13%

KTo

25.88%

Wins 25.32%, ties 1.13%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKo against KTo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKo against KTo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKo73.5541.13125.31574.119
KTo25.3151.13173.55425.881

Here offsuit hands face each other, AKo on one side and KTo on the other. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

That is a clear edge, 74.12% to 25.88%, but KTo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Of every 100 boards, about 1.13 are split pots, and the equity figures already include them.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKo is number 12 of the 169 starting hands and KTo is number 33.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKo136,023,0002,092,00046,815,000
KTo46,815,0002,092,000136,023,000

Exact total: 108 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AKo against KTo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKo2.8641.3603.9500.349
KTo0.3493.9501.3602.864

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AKo holds 84.53% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 70.11% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AKo stays ahead on all five textures.

AKo against KTo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKo winsTiesKTo winsAKo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27569.6900.83729.47370.108
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77184.0011.06014.93984.531
Two-tone46.47772.9200.86126.21973.350
Monotone5.14469.2321.97128.79770.217
Paired17.33377.0412.03520.92478.059

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +8.80 points for AKo, from 65.32%, and -33.86 for KTo, from 59.74%.

AKo and KTo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKo, all flops74.11965.320+8.7991.13471
AKo, rainbow, ten or higher70.10865.320+4.7881.07330
AKo, rainbow, nine or lower84.53165.320+19.2111.29411
AKo, two-tone73.35065.320+8.0301.12293
AKo, monotone70.21765.320+4.8971.07497
AKo, paired78.05965.320+12.7391.19502
KTo, all flops25.88159.739-33.8580.43323
KTo, rainbow, ten or higher29.89259.739-29.8470.50038
KTo, rainbow, nine or lower15.46959.739-44.2700.25894
KTo, two-tone26.65059.739-33.0890.44611
KTo, monotone29.78359.739-29.9560.49855
KTo, paired21.94159.739-37.7980.36728

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give AKo 74.29% when the hands overlap in a suit and 73.53% when they do not. AKo does better with a shared suit, by 0.76 points.

AKo against KTo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKo winsTiesKTo winsAKo equity
Share a suit8477.7873.7131.15325.13474.289
No shared suit2422.2272.9971.05525.94873.525

How often this matchup comes up

Counting specific cards, AKo against KTo appears in 108 of the 1,624,350 ordered heads-up deals (0.0066%), and in 216 when the seats are swapped too (0.0133%).

A worked example

Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AKo takes back $148.24 of it, which is $48.24 more than it put in, and KTo takes back $51.76, $48.24 less than it put in.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 736 won outright by AKo, about 253 won outright by KTo and about 11 split.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, KTo against AKo, shows 25.88% for KTo and 74.12% for AKo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

AsKh against KdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 108 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

Bring your own hands to a session

Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.

Book a session