AKs vs 43s: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, AKs finishes with 62.95% of the pot and 43s with 37.05%.

AKs

62.95%

Wins 62.65%, ties 0.59%

43s

37.05%

Wins 36.76%, ties 0.59%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AKs against 43s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AKs against 43s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AKs62.6500.59036.76062.945
43s36.7600.59062.65037.055

Two suited hands meet here: AKs against 43s. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. About 0.59% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

By strength against a random hand, AKs holds place 8 of 169 and 43s holds place 150.

Boards behind the percentages: 27,396,864 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AKs17,164,000162,00010,071,000
43s10,071,000162,00017,164,000

Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AKs against 43s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AKs1.6991.5962.7200.589
43s0.5892.7201.5961.699

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AKs holds 69.36% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 38.24% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). 43s is ahead on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), even though it trails AKs when every flop is counted.

AKs against 43s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAKs winsTies43s winsAKs equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.59569.2630.19430.54369.360
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31437.6571.15961.18438.236
Two-tone46.72761.9010.34637.75362.074
Monotone5.27358.1613.66738.17259.995
Paired17.09165.8020.66533.53366.134

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, AKs holds 67.05% and 43s holds 38.64%. Facing each other changes that by -4.10 points for AKs and -1.59 points for 43s.

AKs and 43s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AKs, all flops62.94567.045-4.1000.93885
AKs, rainbow, ten or higher69.36067.045+2.3151.03453
AKs, rainbow, nine or lower38.23667.045-28.8090.57030
AKs, two-tone62.07467.045-4.9710.92586
AKs, monotone59.99567.045-7.0500.89485
AKs, paired66.13467.045-0.9110.98641
43s, all flops37.05538.642-1.5870.95893
43s, rainbow, ten or higher30.64038.642-8.0020.79292
43s, rainbow, nine or lower61.76438.642+23.1221.59836
43s, two-tone37.92638.642-0.7160.98147
43s, monotone40.00538.642+1.3631.03527
43s, paired33.86638.642-4.7760.87640

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 65.27% for AKs with a shared suit and 62.17% without one. AKs does better with a shared suit, by 3.10 points.

AKs against 43s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAKs winsTies43s winsAKs equity
Share a suit425.0064.9370.66634.39765.270
No shared suit1275.0061.8890.56437.54762.171

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 16 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0010% of 1,624,350, and 32 (0.0020%) in either order.

A worked example

Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AKs averages $125.90 from the $200, up $25.90; 43s averages $74.10, down $25.90.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 626 outright wins for AKs, 368 for 43s, and 6 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

One page covers both views. From 43s' side the equity is 37.05%, and from AKs' side it is 62.95%.

Open the calculator with AsKs against 4h3h already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 16 ways to deal one AKs and one 43s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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