AKs
47.69%
Wins 47.50%, ties 0.39%
77
52.31%
Wins 52.11%, ties 0.39%
AKs against 77: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 47.497 | 0.385 | 52.118 | 47.690 |
| 77 | 52.118 | 0.385 | 47.497 | 52.310 |
We compare a suited hand with a pocket pair. One hand holds a pair and the other holds two cards that both outrank it, which keeps the equity closer than most people expect.
77 leads by less than 5 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Split pots make up 0.39% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, AKs is number 8 and 77 is number 9.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 19,519,000 | 158,000 | 21,418,000 |
| 77 | 21,418,000 | 158,000 | 19,519,000 |
24 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 0.912 | 2.105 | 1.919 | 1.097 |
| 77 | 1.097 | 1.919 | 2.105 | 0.912 |
In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: 77 holds 77.53% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 46.43% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. AKs takes over on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, so the favorite before the flop is the underdog on those boards.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | 77 wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 24.595 | 53.498 | 0.154 | 46.348 | 53.575 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 6.314 | 22.117 | 0.699 | 77.184 | 22.466 |
| Two-tone | 46.545 | 49.373 | 0.245 | 50.382 | 49.495 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 47.258 | 2.386 | 50.356 | 48.451 |
| Paired | 17.334 | 43.262 | 0.374 | 56.364 | 43.449 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
How much does the opponent matter? Compared with its random-hand 67.05%, AKs changes by -19.36 points, and 77, from 66.24%, by -13.93.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 47.690 | 67.045 | -19.355 | 0.71131 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 53.575 | 67.045 | -13.470 | 0.79909 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 22.466 | 67.045 | -44.579 | 0.33509 |
| AKs, two-tone | 49.495 | 67.045 | -17.550 | 0.73824 |
| AKs, monotone | 48.451 | 67.045 | -18.594 | 0.72266 |
| AKs, paired | 43.449 | 67.045 | -23.596 | 0.64806 |
| 77, all flops | 52.310 | 66.236 | -13.926 | 0.78975 |
| 77, rainbow, ten or higher | 46.425 | 66.236 | -19.811 | 0.70090 |
| 77, rainbow, nine or lower | 77.534 | 66.236 | +11.298 | 1.17057 |
| 77, two-tone | 50.505 | 66.236 | -15.731 | 0.76250 |
| 77, monotone | 51.549 | 66.236 | -14.687 | 0.77826 |
| 77, paired | 56.551 | 66.236 | -9.685 | 0.85378 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 12 of them the hands share a suit and 77 holds 52.50%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 52.12%. 77 does better with a shared suit, by 0.38 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | 77 wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 50.00 | 47.285 | 0.431 | 52.284 | 47.500 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 50.00 | 47.709 | 0.340 | 51.951 | 47.879 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 24 specific-card matchups (0.0015% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 48 once you count the seats both ways (0.0030%).
A worked example
A $100 all-in from each player makes a $200 pot, and the exact equity says 77 gets $104.62 of it on average and AKs gets $95.38.
Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 521 for 77, 475 for AKs and 4 ties.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get 77 with 52.31% against AKs with 47.69%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against 7h7d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 24 specific AKs against 77 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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