AKs
64.84%
Wins 64.61%, ties 0.46%
JTo
35.16%
Wins 34.93%, ties 0.46%
AKs against JTo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 64.608 | 0.463 | 34.929 | 64.839 |
| JTo | 34.929 | 0.463 | 64.608 | 35.161 |
One side is a suited hand, the other is an offsuit hand. The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are 0.46% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
Place 8 of 169 belongs to AKs and place 57 belongs to JTo in the ranking against a random hand.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 53,102,000 | 381,000 | 28,708,000 |
| JTo | 28,708,000 | 381,000 | 53,102,000 |
The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 1.844 | 1.548 | 2.863 | 0.542 |
| JTo | 0.542 | 2.863 | 1.548 | 1.844 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Break the boards down by their first three cards and AKs is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (71.15%) and weakest on monotone flops (60.85%). AKs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | JTo wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.260 | 61.247 | 0.118 | 38.635 | 61.306 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.770 | 70.682 | 0.927 | 28.391 | 71.145 |
| Two-tone | 46.667 | 64.832 | 0.291 | 34.877 | 64.978 |
| Monotone | 5.212 | 59.663 | 2.378 | 37.959 | 60.852 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 67.315 | 0.608 | 32.077 | 67.619 |
Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Compared with a random opponent, this matchup shifts AKs from 67.05% by -2.21 points and JTo from 55.25% by -20.09 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 64.839 | 67.045 | -2.206 | 0.96710 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 61.306 | 67.045 | -5.739 | 0.91440 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 71.145 | 67.045 | +4.100 | 1.06115 |
| AKs, two-tone | 64.978 | 67.045 | -2.067 | 0.96917 |
| AKs, monotone | 60.852 | 67.045 | -6.193 | 0.90763 |
| AKs, paired | 67.619 | 67.045 | +0.574 | 1.00856 |
| JTo, all flops | 35.161 | 55.248 | -20.087 | 0.63642 |
| JTo, rainbow, ten or higher | 38.694 | 55.248 | -16.554 | 0.70037 |
| JTo, rainbow, nine or lower | 28.855 | 55.248 | -26.393 | 0.52228 |
| JTo, two-tone | 35.022 | 55.248 | -20.226 | 0.63391 |
| JTo, monotone | 39.148 | 55.248 | -16.100 | 0.70859 |
| JTo, paired | 32.381 | 55.248 | -22.867 | 0.58610 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give AKs 64.63% when the hands overlap in a suit and 65.05% when they do not. AKs does better with no shared suit, by 0.42 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | JTo wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 24 | 50.00 | 64.377 | 0.504 | 35.119 | 64.629 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 50.00 | 64.838 | 0.422 | 34.740 | 65.049 |
How often this matchup comes up
This page stands for 48 specific-card matchups (0.0030% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 96 once you count the seats both ways (0.0059%).
A worked example
Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AKs' average share is $129.68 (a gain of $29.68) and JTo's is $70.32 (a loss of $29.68).
Think in thousands: about 646 of 1,000 go to AKs, about 349 go to JTo, and about 5 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
JTo against AKs adds nothing new: it is 35.16% for JTo and 64.84% for AKs, the same figures reversed.
Keep exploring
Open the calculator with AsKs against JhTd already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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