AKs
75.59%
Wins 75.02%, ties 1.15%
KQo
24.41%
Wins 23.83%, ties 1.15%
AKs against KQo: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 75.015 | 1.153 | 23.832 | 75.591 |
| KQo | 23.832 | 1.153 | 75.015 | 24.409 |
We compare a suited hand with an offsuit hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.
That is a clear edge, 75.59% to 24.41%, but KQo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. Ties are part of the picture: 1.15% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, AKs is number 8 and KQo is number 23.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 46,241,000 | 711,000 | 14,691,000 |
| KQo | 14,691,000 | 711,000 | 46,241,000 |
36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 3.097 | 1.333 | 4.196 | 0.323 |
| KQo | 0.323 | 4.196 | 1.333 | 3.097 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AKs holds 87.19% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) and 67.54% on monotone flops. AKs stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | KQo wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.177 | 70.988 | 0.769 | 28.243 | 71.373 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.771 | 86.542 | 1.297 | 12.161 | 87.190 |
| Two-tone | 46.527 | 75.026 | 0.838 | 24.136 | 75.445 |
| Monotone | 5.192 | 66.254 | 2.580 | 31.166 | 67.544 |
| Paired | 17.333 | 77.827 | 2.018 | 20.155 | 78.836 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 67.05% for AKs and 61.46% for KQo. This opponent changes them by +8.54 and -37.05 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 75.591 | 67.045 | +8.546 | 1.12747 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 71.373 | 67.045 | +4.328 | 1.06455 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 87.190 | 67.045 | +20.145 | 1.30047 |
| AKs, two-tone | 75.445 | 67.045 | +8.400 | 1.12529 |
| AKs, monotone | 67.544 | 67.045 | +0.499 | 1.00744 |
| AKs, paired | 78.836 | 67.045 | +11.791 | 1.17587 |
| KQo, all flops | 24.409 | 61.456 | -37.047 | 0.39718 |
| KQo, rainbow, ten or higher | 28.627 | 61.456 | -32.829 | 0.46581 |
| KQo, rainbow, nine or lower | 12.810 | 61.456 | -48.646 | 0.20844 |
| KQo, two-tone | 24.555 | 61.456 | -36.901 | 0.39955 |
| KQo, monotone | 32.456 | 61.456 | -29.000 | 0.52812 |
| KQo, paired | 21.164 | 61.456 | -40.292 | 0.34438 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Split by suits, the deals give AKs 75.35% when the hands overlap in a suit and 75.71% when they do not. AKs does better with no shared suit, by 0.36 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | KQo wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 12 | 33.33 | 74.744 | 1.217 | 24.039 | 75.353 |
| No shared suit | 24 | 66.67 | 75.150 | 1.121 | 23.729 | 75.711 |
How often this matchup comes up
You will meet this exact matchup 0.0044% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 72 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.
A worked example
Try it with money: two players each put in $100 and the whole board runs out every possible way. AKs averages $151.18 from the $200, up $51.18; KQo averages $48.82, down $51.18.
Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 750 outright wins for AKs, 238 for KQo, and 12 split pots.
The same matchup from the other side
Swap the hands and you get KQo with 24.41% against AKs with 75.59%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against KhQd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 36 specific AKs against KQo deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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