AKs
62.85%
Wins 62.61%, ties 0.48%
T8s
37.15%
Wins 36.91%, ties 0.48%
AKs against T8s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 62.611 | 0.483 | 36.906 | 62.852 |
| T8s | 36.906 | 0.483 | 62.611 | 37.148 |
Both hands are suited hands: AKs and T8s. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
The lead is steady rather than large, and the flop still has plenty of say in who wins. Ties are 0.48% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AKs is number 8 of the 169 starting hands and T8s is number 73.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 17,153,000 | 132,000 | 10,111,000 |
| T8s | 10,111,000 | 132,000 | 17,153,000 |
The board total is exact, 16 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs | 1.692 | 1.597 | 2.710 | 0.591 |
| T8s | 0.591 | 2.710 | 1.597 | 1.692 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
Split by what the flop looks like, AKs peaks at 66.18% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 52.56% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AKs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AKs wins | Ties | T8s wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 66.102 | 0.147 | 33.751 | 66.176 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 52.213 | 0.692 | 47.095 | 52.559 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 62.061 | 0.244 | 37.695 | 62.183 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.395 | 3.404 | 38.201 | 60.097 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 64.824 | 0.620 | 34.556 | 65.134 |
Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Start from the random-hand figures, 67.05% for AKs and 52.33% for T8s. This opponent changes them by -4.20 and -15.18 points.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AKs, all flops | 62.852 | 67.045 | -4.193 | 0.93746 |
| AKs, rainbow, ten or higher | 66.176 | 67.045 | -0.869 | 0.98704 |
| AKs, rainbow, nine or lower | 52.559 | 67.045 | -14.486 | 0.78394 |
| AKs, two-tone | 62.183 | 67.045 | -4.862 | 0.92748 |
| AKs, monotone | 60.097 | 67.045 | -6.948 | 0.89637 |
| AKs, paired | 65.134 | 67.045 | -1.911 | 0.97150 |
| T8s, all flops | 37.148 | 52.334 | -15.186 | 0.70983 |
| T8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 33.824 | 52.334 | -18.510 | 0.64631 |
| T8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 47.441 | 52.334 | -4.893 | 0.90650 |
| T8s, two-tone | 37.817 | 52.334 | -14.517 | 0.72261 |
| T8s, monotone | 39.903 | 52.334 | -12.431 | 0.76247 |
| T8s, paired | 34.866 | 52.334 | -17.468 | 0.66622 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Of the deals of this matchup, 4 share a suit (AKs at 65.15%) and 12 do not (62.09%). AKs does better with a shared suit, by 3.06 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AKs wins | Ties | T8s wins | AKs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 64.865 | 0.561 | 34.574 | 65.146 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 61.859 | 0.457 | 37.684 | 62.088 |
How often this matchup comes up
How often does it happen? 16 of the 1,624,350 ordered deals (0.0010%) are AKs against T8s, and 32 (0.0020%) if either hand may sit in either seat.
A worked example
To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AKs is worth $125.70 on average (+$25.70); T8s is worth $74.30 (-$25.70).
Think in thousands: about 626 of 1,000 go to AKs, about 369 go to T8s, and about 5 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
T8s versus AKs is this same page seen from the other hand: 37.15% for T8s, 62.85% for AKs.
Keep exploring
Try AsKs against Th8h in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.
How this was computed
Nothing here is simulated. The 16 deals of AKs against T8s fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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