AQo vs 22: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 52.30% for 22 and 47.70% for AQo, so 22 leads by 4.60 points.

AQo

47.70%

Wins 47.40%, ties 0.60%

22

52.30%

Wins 52.00%, ties 0.60%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against 22: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against 22, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo47.4000.60351.99747.702
2251.9970.60347.40052.298

Here an offsuit hand (AQo) meets a pocket pair (22). This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

With only 4.60 points between them, the board decides this matchup far more than the cards in hand. Ties are part of the picture: 0.60% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, AQo is number 14 of the 169 starting hands and 22 is number 87.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo58,438,000743,00064,105,000
2264,105,000743,00058,438,000

Exact total: 72 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AQo against 22 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo0.9122.1101.9231.096
221.0961.9232.1100.912

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Break the boards down by their first three cards and 22 is strongest on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) (78.47%) and weakest on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better (46.49%). On rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and monotone flops the numbers flip and AQo is the one ahead.

AQo against 22 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTies22 winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71753.4130.19546.39253.511
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31420.8081.43977.75321.527
Two-tone46.48547.1190.42852.45347.333
Monotone5.15148.9802.65748.36350.309
Paired17.33348.7960.74250.46249.167

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -16.73 points for AQo, from 64.43%, and +1.97 for 22, from 50.33%.

AQo and 22 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops47.70264.432-16.7300.74035
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher53.51164.432-10.9210.83050
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower21.52764.432-42.9050.33410
AQo, two-tone47.33364.432-17.0990.73462
AQo, monotone50.30964.432-14.1230.78081
AQo, paired49.16764.432-15.2650.76308
22, all flops52.29850.334+1.9641.03902
22, rainbow, ten or higher46.48950.334-3.8450.92361
22, rainbow, nine or lower78.47350.334+28.1391.55905
22, two-tone52.66750.334+2.3331.04635
22, monotone49.69150.334-0.6430.98723
22, paired50.83350.334+0.4991.00991

Does a shared suit matter?

The suit split reads 52.22% for 22 with a shared suit and 52.69% without one. 22 does better with no shared suit, by 0.47 points.

AQo against 22 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTies22 winsAQo equity
Share a suit6083.3347.4760.61051.91447.781
No shared suit1216.6747.0220.56752.41147.306

How often this matchup comes up

You will meet this exact matchup 0.0089% of the time in a random heads-up deal: 144 of 1,624,350, counting either seat order.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. 22's equity of 52.30% is worth $104.60, a $4.60 edge, and AQo's 47.70% is worth $95.40, which is $4.60 under its stake.

A thousand deals look like this: 22 takes 520, AQo takes 474, 6 are ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 22 against AQo, is 52.30% to 47.70%, and its address redirects to this page.

AsQh against 2d2c is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Nothing here is simulated. The 72 deals of AQo against 22 fall into a few suit patterns, each dealt against all 1,712,304 boards, with both best five-card hands compared on every board. Ties give each hand half a win, and the flop rows count a board under each of its ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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