AQo vs 55: preflop equity

Over all 1,712,304 boards that can follow this deal, 55 finishes with 54.27% of the pot and AQo with 45.73%.

AQo

45.73%

Wins 45.51%, ties 0.44%

55

54.27%

Wins 54.05%, ties 0.44%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against 55: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against 55, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo45.5120.44354.04545.734
5554.0450.44345.51254.266

One side is an offsuit hand, the other is a pocket pair. This is a pair against two overcards, a matchup that stays close because the other hand only needs one of its ranks to appear.

55 leads by less than 9 points of equity, so the result of any one deal is close to a toss-up. Ties are 0.44% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Among the 169 starting hands, AQo is number 14 and 55 is number 27 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 123,285,888 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo56,110,000546,00066,630,000
5566,630,000546,00056,110,000

The total is exact: 72 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AQo against 55 read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo0.8432.1971.8501.187
551.1871.8502.1970.843

The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) are the best for 55 (80.88%); rainbow flops topped by a ten or better are the worst (47.34%). Rainbow flops topped by a ten or better favor AQo, the hand that is behind overall.

AQo against 55 by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTies55 winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71752.5670.19547.23852.665
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31418.6700.90680.42419.123
Two-tone46.48546.0160.32653.65846.179
Monotone5.15147.9041.84650.25048.827
Paired17.33343.1690.52356.30843.431

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, AQo changes by -18.70 points (baseline 64.43%) and 55 by -6.06 points (baseline 60.33%).

AQo and 55 here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops45.73464.432-18.6980.70980
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher52.66564.432-11.7670.81737
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower19.12364.432-45.3090.29679
AQo, two-tone46.17964.432-18.2530.71671
AQo, monotone48.82764.432-15.6050.75781
AQo, paired43.43164.432-21.0010.67406
55, all flops54.26660.325-6.0590.89956
55, rainbow, ten or higher47.33560.325-12.9900.78467
55, rainbow, nine or lower80.87760.325+20.5521.34069
55, two-tone53.82160.325-6.5040.89218
55, monotone51.17360.325-9.1520.84829
55, paired56.56960.325-3.7560.93774

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, 55 has 54.19%; looking only at deals where they do not, 54.67%. 55 does better with no shared suit, by 0.48 points.

AQo against 55 by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTies55 winsAQo equity
Share a suit6083.3345.5860.45753.95745.814
No shared suit1216.6745.1460.36954.48545.331

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 72 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0044% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 144, or 0.0089%.

A worked example

To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. 55 is worth $108.54 on average (+$8.54); AQo is worth $91.46 (-$8.54).

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 541 won outright by 55, about 455 won outright by AQo and about 4 split.

The same matchup from the other side

The mirror image, 55 against AQo, is 54.27% to 45.73%, and its address redirects to this page.

Try AsQh against 5d5c in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 72 specific AQo against 55 deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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