AQo vs 64s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 59.86% for AQo and 40.14% for 64s, so AQo leads by 19.72 points.

AQo

59.86%

Wins 59.62%, ties 0.47%

64s

40.14%

Wins 39.91%, ties 0.47%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo59.6190.47439.90759.856
64s39.9070.47459.61940.144

AQo is an offsuit hand and 64s is a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

A 19.72 point lead is real, and 64s still takes about 399 of every 1,000 deals outright. Ties are part of the picture: 0.47% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

Place 14 of 169 belongs to AQo and place 138 belongs to 64s in the ranking against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo49,001,000390,00032,800,000
64s32,800,000390,00049,001,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AQo against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo1.4911.6772.5060.671
64s0.6712.5061.6771.491

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, AQo's equity runs from 32.45% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 68.21% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. On low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) the numbers flip and 64s is the one ahead.

AQo against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTies64s winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.1300.15431.71668.207
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31331.9790.93767.08432.448
Two-tone46.66757.9960.29641.70858.144
Monotone5.21256.9172.42740.65658.131
Paired17.09162.7770.65736.56663.106

Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.

Compared with a random hand

A random hand would give AQo 64.43% and 64s 41.33%. Against each other the change is -4.57 points for AQo and -1.19 for 64s.

AQo and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops59.85664.432-4.5760.92898
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher68.20764.432+3.7751.05859
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower32.44864.432-31.9840.50360
AQo, two-tone58.14464.432-6.2880.90241
AQo, monotone58.13164.432-6.3010.90221
AQo, paired63.10664.432-1.3260.97942
64s, all flops40.14441.333-1.1890.97123
64s, rainbow, ten or higher31.79341.333-9.5400.76919
64s, rainbow, nine or lower67.55241.333+26.2191.63434
64s, two-tone41.85641.333+0.5231.01265
64s, monotone41.86941.333+0.5361.01297
64s, paired36.89441.333-4.4390.89260

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and AQo holds 60.56%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 59.15%. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.41 points.

AQo against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTies64s winsAQo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.3070.51539.17860.564
No shared suit2450.0058.9310.43440.63559.148

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 48 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0030% of 1,624,350, and 96 (0.0059%) in either order.

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $119.72 for AQo and $80.28 for 64s; the first side gains $19.72 per all-in and the second gives up $19.72.

Over a long run, 1,000 deals split into about 596 for AQo, 399 for 64s and 5 tied.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: 64s against AQo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so 64s holds 40.14% and AQo holds 59.86%. That address sends you back to this page.

Open the calculator with AsQh against 6d4d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 48 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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