AQo vs A3s: preflop equity

If AQo and A3s get all the chips in before the flop, AQo owns 68.85% of the pot in the long run and A3s owns 31.15%.

AQo

68.85%

Wins 65.96%, ties 5.80%

A3s

31.15%

Wins 28.24%, ties 5.80%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against A3s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against A3s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo65.9555.79528.25068.853
A3s28.2505.79565.95531.147

AQo is an offsuit hand and A3s is a suited hand. Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

AQo is well ahead, and A3s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. Ties are 5.80% of the outcomes here; each tied board gives both hands half the pot.

Ranked by equity against a random hand, AQo is number 14 of the 169 starting hands and A3s is number 38.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo40,657,0003,572,00017,414,000
A3s17,414,0003,572,00040,657,000

Exact total: 36 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

AQo against A3s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo2.2111.5163.5400.452
A3s0.4523.5401.5162.211

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

Split by what the flop looks like, AQo peaks at 76.18% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and bottoms out at 55.20% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AQo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AQo against A3s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTiesA3s winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90574.3713.61122.01876.176
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04252.9524.49342.55555.198
Two-tone46.52765.8873.62130.49267.698
Monotone5.19261.4044.84333.75363.826
Paired17.33461.17915.45423.36768.906

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, AQo holds 64.43% and A3s holds 58.22%. Facing each other changes that by +4.42 points for AQo and -27.07 points for A3s.

AQo and A3s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops68.85364.432+4.4211.06861
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher76.17664.432+11.7441.18227
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower55.19864.432-9.2340.85669
AQo, two-tone67.69864.432+3.2661.05069
AQo, monotone63.82664.432-0.6060.99059
AQo, paired68.90664.432+4.4741.06944
A3s, all flops31.14758.220-27.0730.53499
A3s, rainbow, ten or higher23.82458.220-34.3960.40921
A3s, rainbow, nine or lower44.80258.220-13.4180.76953
A3s, two-tone32.30258.220-25.9180.55483
A3s, monotone36.17458.220-22.0460.62133
A3s, paired31.09458.220-27.1260.53408

Does a shared suit matter?

Suit overlap shows up in the numbers. With a suit in common AQo has 69.67% equity, and with none in common it has 68.44%. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.23 points.

AQo against A3s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTiesA3s winsAQo equity
Share a suit1233.3366.7305.88627.38469.673
No shared suit2466.6765.5685.74928.68368.442

How often this matchup comes up

AQo against A3s is made up of 36 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0022% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 72 counting both seat orders, 0.0044%.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AQo's average share is $137.70 (a gain of $37.70) and A3s' is $62.30 (a loss of $37.70).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 660 for AQo, 282 for A3s and 58 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

A3s against AQo adds nothing new: it is 31.15% for A3s and 68.85% for AQo, the same figures reversed.

The calculator link fills in AsQh against Ad3d, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 36 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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