AQo vs A7s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 69.26% for AQo and 30.74% for A7s, so AQo leads by 38.52 points.

AQo

69.26%

Wins 66.44%, ties 5.63%

A7s

30.74%

Wins 27.93%, ties 5.63%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against A7s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against A7s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo66.4445.63127.92569.260
A7s27.9255.63166.44430.740

Here an offsuit hand (AQo) meets a suited hand (A7s). Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

AQo is well ahead, and A7s needs a specific kind of board to catch up. The tie share is 5.63%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

Among the 169 starting hands, AQo is number 14 and A7s is number 24 by strength against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo40,958,0003,471,00017,214,000
A7s17,214,0003,471,00040,958,000

The total is exact: 36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards. The three counts are approximate, worked out from the percentages to five decimals and rounded to the nearest thousand.

AQo against A7s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo2.2531.5053.5810.444
A7s0.4443.5811.5052.253

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. AQo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 76.70%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 55.99%. AQo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AQo against A7s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTiesA7s winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.90574.9203.56721.51376.704
Rainbow, nine or lower7.04253.8304.31541.85555.988
Two-tone46.52766.4273.53230.04168.193
Monotone5.19261.7184.72733.55564.082
Paired17.33461.34214.91823.74068.801

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of +4.83 points for AQo, from 64.43%, and -30.24 for A7s, from 60.98%.

AQo and A7s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops69.26064.432+4.8281.07493
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher76.70464.432+12.2721.19046
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower55.98864.432-8.4440.86895
AQo, two-tone68.19364.432+3.7611.05837
AQo, monotone64.08264.432-0.3500.99457
AQo, paired68.80164.432+4.3691.06781
A7s, all flops30.74060.984-30.2440.50407
A7s, rainbow, ten or higher23.29660.984-37.6880.38200
A7s, rainbow, nine or lower44.01260.984-16.9720.72170
A7s, two-tone31.80760.984-29.1770.52156
A7s, monotone35.91860.984-25.0660.58897
A7s, paired31.19960.984-29.7850.51159

Does a shared suit matter?

Does suit overlap move the numbers? AQo has 70.09% when the hands share a suit and 68.84% when they do not. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.25 points.

AQo against A7s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTiesA7s winsAQo equity
Share a suit1233.3367.2325.72327.04570.093
No shared suit2466.6766.0515.58528.36468.843

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).

A worked example

With $100 from each side, the $200 pot is split on average as $138.52 for AQo and $61.48 for A7s; the first side gains $38.52 per all-in and the second gives up $38.52.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 665 for AQo, 279 for A7s and 56 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, A7s against AQo, shows 30.74% for A7s and 69.26% for AQo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Open the calculator with AsQh against Ad7d already entered, a deal with no shared suit, and change any card to try your own hand. The matchups after it each swap one hand for a nearby one in the ranking.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 36 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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