AQo vs ATo: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, AQo holds 73.58% equity against ATo, which leaves ATo with 26.42%.

AQo

73.58%

Wins 70.69%, ties 5.77%

ATo

26.42%

Wins 23.54%, ties 5.77%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against ATo: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against ATo, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo70.6915.77423.53573.578
ATo23.5355.77470.69126.422

This is a contest between two offsuit hands, AQo and ATo. Sharing a rank is the signature of a dominated hand, since the weaker hand is usually out-kicked when the shared rank shows up.

That is a clear edge, 73.58% to 26.42%, but ATo still wins often enough that one hand proves nothing. About 5.77% of boards chop the pot, which is why equity sits slightly above the win figure for both hands.

By strength against a random hand, AQo holds place 14 of 169 and ATo holds place 19.

Boards behind the percentages: 184,928,832 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo130,728,00010,678,00043,523,000
ATo43,523,00010,678,000130,728,000

108 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

AQo against ATo read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo2.7851.4154.2490.359
ATo0.3594.2491.4152.785

In the last column, a pot-to-call ratio at or above the figure makes a call break even or better at this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

AQo prefers low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), where it holds 82.98%, and likes monotone flops least, where it holds 68.52%. AQo stays ahead on all five textures.

AQo against ATo by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTiesATo winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.27570.1783.19226.63071.774
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77180.3285.31014.36282.983
Two-tone46.47772.0533.66224.28573.884
Monotone5.14466.2584.52729.21568.521
Paired17.33364.72415.48119.79572.464

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, AQo holds 64.43% and ATo holds 62.72%. Facing each other changes that by +9.15 points for AQo and -36.30 points for ATo.

AQo and ATo here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops73.57864.432+9.1461.14195
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher71.77464.432+7.3421.11395
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower82.98364.432+18.5511.28792
AQo, two-tone73.88464.432+9.4521.14670
AQo, monotone68.52164.432+4.0891.06346
AQo, paired72.46464.432+8.0321.12466
ATo, all flops26.42262.722-36.3000.42126
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher28.22662.722-34.4960.45002
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower17.01762.722-45.7050.27131
ATo, two-tone26.11662.722-36.6060.41638
ATo, monotone31.47962.722-31.2430.50188
ATo, paired27.53662.722-35.1860.43902

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 84 of them the hands share a suit and AQo holds 73.68%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 73.21%. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 0.47 points.

AQo against ATo by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTiesATo winsAQo equity
Share a suit8477.7870.7825.80123.41773.683
No shared suit2422.2270.3715.68023.94973.211

How often this matchup comes up

The class pair covers 108 combinations of specific cards in a fixed seat order, 0.0066% of 1,624,350, and 216 (0.0133%) in either order.

A worked example

Worked example: both players commit $100, so $200 sits in the middle. Over every board, AQo's average share is $147.16 (a gain of $47.16) and ATo's is $52.84 (a loss of $47.16).

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 707 for AQo, 235 for ATo and 58 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

Read it from the other side: ATo against AQo is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so ATo holds 26.42% and AQo holds 73.58%. That address sends you back to this page.

AsQh against AdTc is a ready-made deal for the calculator, with no suit in common between the hands. The neighboring matchups below replace one hand with another of similar strength.

How this was computed

Method: exact enumeration. The 108 specific deals are grouped by suit pattern, each is run against all 1,712,304 boards, and both seven-card hands are scored. Equity adds half of every tie, and flop textures are tallied over the ten flops inside each board.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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