AQo vs KQs: preflop equity

Before any board card is dealt, AQo holds 70.41% equity against KQs, which leaves KQs with 29.59%.

AQo

70.41%

Wins 69.85%, ties 1.13%

KQs

29.59%

Wins 29.02%, ties 1.13%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

AQo against KQs: the numbers

Exact preflop results for AQo against KQs, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
AQo69.8471.13029.02370.412
KQs29.0231.13069.84729.588

Here an offsuit hand (AQo) meets a suited hand (KQs). Because the hands share one rank, the one with the higher kicker is ahead when that rank pairs and the other hand is mostly drawing.

AQo is the clear favorite, though KQs gets there on roughly one board in 3. The tie share is 1.13%: on those boards the pot is chopped and neither hand wins outright.

In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, AQo is number 14 and KQs is number 16.

Boards behind the percentages: 61,642,944 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
AQo43,056,000697,00017,891,000
KQs17,891,000697,00043,056,000

36 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.

AQo against KQs read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
AQo2.3801.4323.4460.420
KQs0.4203.4461.4322.380

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, AQo's equity runs from 65.53% on monotone flops up to 83.56% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AQo stays ahead on all five textures, but the swing between them is large, so how the flop looks matters a great deal.

AQo against KQs by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsAQo winsTiesKQs winsAQo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher23.17767.9540.75731.28968.333
Rainbow, nine or lower7.77182.9131.29315.79483.559
Two-tone46.52768.1490.82731.02468.562
Monotone5.19264.2422.56933.18965.527
Paired17.33372.7601.93725.30373.729

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Relative to a random opponent, AQo changes by +5.98 points (baseline 64.43%) and KQs by -33.81 points (baseline 63.40%).

AQo and KQs here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
AQo, all flops70.41264.432+5.9801.09281
AQo, rainbow, ten or higher68.33364.432+3.9011.06054
AQo, rainbow, nine or lower83.55964.432+19.1271.29686
AQo, two-tone68.56264.432+4.1301.06410
AQo, monotone65.52764.432+1.0951.01699
AQo, paired73.72964.432+9.2971.14429
KQs, all flops29.58863.400-33.8120.46669
KQs, rainbow, ten or higher31.66763.400-31.7330.49948
KQs, rainbow, nine or lower16.44163.400-46.9590.25932
KQs, two-tone31.43863.400-31.9620.49587
KQs, monotone34.47363.400-28.9270.54374
KQs, paired26.27163.400-37.1290.41437

Does a shared suit matter?

Looking only at deals where the hands share a suit, AQo has 71.49%; looking only at deals where they do not, 69.88%. AQo does better with a shared suit, by 1.61 points.

AQo against KQs by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsAQo winsTiesKQs winsAQo equity
Share a suit1233.3370.8901.19527.91571.487
No shared suit2466.6769.3261.09829.57669.875

How often this matchup comes up

This page stands for 36 specific-card matchups (0.0022% of 1,624,350 ordered deals), or 72 once you count the seats both ways (0.0044%).

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: AQo averages $140.82 back, ahead of its $100 by $40.82, while KQs averages $59.18, short of its $100 by $40.82.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 699 outright wins for AQo, 290 for KQs, and 11 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

Swap the hands and you get KQs with 29.59% against AQo with 70.41%. We keep one page per matchup, with the better-ranked hand first.

Try AsQh against KdQd in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

Each figure is a complete count over boards. Take the 36 specific deals, group them by suit pattern, deal all 1,712,304 boards against each, and compare the two seven-card hands. Equity counts a tie as half a win; the flop rows use every one of a board's ten flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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