AQs
63.02%
Wins 62.78%, ties 0.48%
T8s
36.98%
Wins 36.74%, ties 0.48%
AQs against T8s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 62.778 | 0.478 | 36.744 | 63.017 |
| T8s | 36.744 | 0.478 | 62.778 | 36.983 |
The matchup is suited hands on both sides, AQs against T8s. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.
That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. 0.48% of boards are ties, so the equity of each hand is its win rate plus half of that.
In the ranking of all 169 starting hands, AQs is number 10 and T8s is number 73.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 17,199,000 | 131,000 | 10,067,000 |
| T8s | 10,067,000 | 131,000 | 17,199,000 |
Exact total: 16 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 1.704 | 1.593 | 2.722 | 0.587 |
| T8s | 0.587 | 2.722 | 1.593 | 1.704 |
The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AQs holds 66.40% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 52.63% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AQs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AQs wins | Ties | T8s wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 66.324 | 0.141 | 33.535 | 66.395 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 52.297 | 0.674 | 47.029 | 52.634 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 62.190 | 0.237 | 37.573 | 62.309 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 58.407 | 3.399 | 38.194 | 60.106 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 65.099 | 0.624 | 34.277 | 65.411 |
A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.
Compared with a random hand
Against one random hand instead, AQs holds 66.21% and T8s holds 52.33%. Facing each other changes that by -3.19 points for AQs and -15.35 points for T8s.
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs, all flops | 63.017 | 66.209 | -3.192 | 0.95179 |
| AQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 66.395 | 66.209 | +0.186 | 1.00281 |
| AQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 52.634 | 66.209 | -13.575 | 0.79497 |
| AQs, two-tone | 62.309 | 66.209 | -3.900 | 0.94110 |
| AQs, monotone | 60.106 | 66.209 | -6.103 | 0.90782 |
| AQs, paired | 65.411 | 66.209 | -0.798 | 0.98795 |
| T8s, all flops | 36.983 | 52.334 | -15.351 | 0.70667 |
| T8s, rainbow, ten or higher | 33.605 | 52.334 | -18.729 | 0.64213 |
| T8s, rainbow, nine or lower | 47.366 | 52.334 | -4.968 | 0.90507 |
| T8s, two-tone | 37.691 | 52.334 | -14.643 | 0.72020 |
| T8s, monotone | 39.894 | 52.334 | -12.440 | 0.76230 |
| T8s, paired | 34.589 | 52.334 | -17.745 | 0.66093 |
Does a shared suit matter?
The suit split reads 65.36% for AQs with a shared suit and 62.24% without one. AQs does better with a shared suit, by 3.12 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AQs wins | Ties | T8s wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 65.085 | 0.553 | 34.362 | 65.362 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 62.009 | 0.452 | 37.539 | 62.235 |
How often this matchup comes up
Exactly 16 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0010% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 32, or 0.0020%.
A worked example
To see what the equity is worth, imagine $100 each in a $200 pot. AQs is worth $126.04 on average (+$26.04); T8s is worth $73.96 (-$26.04).
A thousand deals look like this: AQs takes 628, T8s takes 367, 5 are ties.
The same matchup from the other side
T8s versus AQs is this same page seen from the other hand: 36.98% for T8s, 63.02% for AQs.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in AsQs against Th8h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
The figures are counted, not estimated: 1,712,304 boards for every suit pattern of the 16 specific deals, with both seven-card hands compared each time. Equity gives half a win for a tie. For the flop rows, a board is counted once under each of the ten flops inside it.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
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