AQs
62.18%
Wins 61.94%, ties 0.49%
T9s
37.82%
Wins 37.57%, ties 0.49%
AQs against T9s: the numbers
| Hand | Wins | Ties | Loses | Equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 61.940 | 0.488 | 37.572 | 62.184 |
| T9s | 37.572 | 0.488 | 61.940 | 37.816 |
This is a contest between two suited hands, AQs and T9s. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.
A 24.36 point lead is real, and T9s still takes about 376 of every 1,000 deals outright. Split pots make up 0.49% of the boards, and both equity figures count them as half a win each.
Ranked by equity against a random hand, AQs is number 10 of the 169 starting hands and T9s is number 64.
| Hand | Boards won, about | Boards tied, about | Boards lost, about |
|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 16,970,000 | 134,000 | 10,294,000 |
| T9s | 10,294,000 | 134,000 | 16,970,000 |
16 specific deals times 1,712,304 boards gives the exact total. The won, tied and lost counts are approximations from the five-decimal percentages, rounded to the nearest thousand.
| Hand | Equity as odds (to 1) | Wins one deal in | Loses one deal in | Pot odds needed to call (to 1) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs | 1.644 | 1.614 | 2.662 | 0.608 |
| T9s | 0.608 | 2.662 | 1.614 | 1.644 |
The final column gives the least the pot must offer for each unit called for a call to break even at this equity.
Who is ahead on which flops
If you know the kind of flop that came, the numbers shift: AQs holds 64.85% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better and 53.69% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower). AQs stays ahead on all five textures.
| Flop | Share of flops | AQs wins | Ties | T9s wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow, ten or higher | 23.867 | 64.780 | 0.141 | 35.079 | 64.850 |
| Rainbow, nine or lower | 7.042 | 53.319 | 0.744 | 45.937 | 53.691 |
| Two-tone | 46.727 | 61.320 | 0.248 | 38.432 | 61.444 |
| Monotone | 5.273 | 57.706 | 3.404 | 38.890 | 59.408 |
| Paired | 17.091 | 64.532 | 0.620 | 34.848 | 64.842 |
Flop types: rainbow means three different suits, two-tone means one suit twice, monotone means one suit three times, paired means a repeated rank.
Compared with a random hand
Relative to a random opponent, AQs changes by -4.03 points (baseline 66.21%) and T9s by -16.21 points (baseline 54.03%).
| Case | Equity here | Against a random hand | Change in points | Times the random-hand equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AQs, all flops | 62.184 | 66.209 | -4.025 | 0.93921 |
| AQs, rainbow, ten or higher | 64.850 | 66.209 | -1.359 | 0.97947 |
| AQs, rainbow, nine or lower | 53.691 | 66.209 | -12.518 | 0.81093 |
| AQs, two-tone | 61.444 | 66.209 | -4.765 | 0.92803 |
| AQs, monotone | 59.408 | 66.209 | -6.801 | 0.89728 |
| AQs, paired | 64.842 | 66.209 | -1.367 | 0.97935 |
| T9s, all flops | 37.816 | 54.028 | -16.212 | 0.69993 |
| T9s, rainbow, ten or higher | 35.150 | 54.028 | -18.878 | 0.65059 |
| T9s, rainbow, nine or lower | 46.309 | 54.028 | -7.719 | 0.85713 |
| T9s, two-tone | 38.556 | 54.028 | -15.472 | 0.71363 |
| T9s, monotone | 40.592 | 54.028 | -13.436 | 0.75131 |
| T9s, paired | 35.158 | 54.028 | -18.870 | 0.65074 |
Does a shared suit matter?
Two kinds of deal exist here. In 4 of them the hands share a suit and AQs holds 64.45%. In 12 they do not, and it holds 61.43%. AQs does better with a shared suit, by 3.02 points.
| Deals | Specific deals | Share of deals | AQs wins | Ties | T9s wins | AQs equity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Share a suit | 4 | 25.00 | 64.169 | 0.564 | 35.267 | 64.451 |
| No shared suit | 12 | 75.00 | 61.198 | 0.462 | 38.340 | 61.429 |
How often this matchup comes up
Out of 1,624,350 ways to deal two seats two cards each, 16 are AQs in one seat and T9s in the other (0.0010%); with the seats swapped too, 32 (0.0020%).
A worked example
Say each player puts $100 in before the flop, making a $200 pot. On average AQs takes back $124.36 of it, which is $24.36 more than it put in, and T9s takes back $75.64, $24.36 less than it put in.
Think in thousands: about 619 of 1,000 go to AQs, about 376 go to T9s, and about 5 are chopped.
The same matchup from the other side
Read it from the other side: T9s against AQs is the same matchup with the numbers swapped, so T9s holds 37.82% and AQs holds 62.18%. That address sends you back to this page.
Keep exploring
The calculator link fills in AsQs against Th9h, a deal where the two hands share no suit. Change any card to test your own hand. The neighboring matchups below swap one of the two hands for one of similar strength.
How this was computed
We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 16 specific AQs against T9s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.
Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.
Bring your own hands to a session
Review the spots you actually play against these numbers in a Game Assessment, and leave with a one-page written plan.
Book a session