ATo vs 43s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, ATo is ahead of 43s by 21.40 points of equity, 60.70% to 39.30%.

ATo

60.70%

Wins 60.44%, ties 0.51%

43s

39.30%

Wins 39.05%, ties 0.51%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against 43s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against 43s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo60.4430.51239.04560.699
43s39.0450.51260.44339.301

Here an offsuit hand (ATo) meets a suited hand (43s). The two hands share no rank, which makes this a pure matchup of card strength, straight chances and flush chances.

A 21.40 point lead is real, and 43s still takes about 391 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 0.51% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

ATo ranks number 19 of 169 starting hands, and 43s ranks number 150, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo49,678,000421,00032,091,000
43s32,091,000421,00049,678,000

The board total is exact, 48 deals at 1,712,304 boards each. Won, tied and lost counts are rounded to the nearest thousand from the five-decimal percentages.

ATo against 43s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo1.5441.6542.5610.647
43s0.6472.5611.6541.544

The last column is the break-even price: the pot odds a call needs to offer, as a ratio of pot to call.

Who is ahead on which flops

By flop texture, ATo's equity runs from 36.77% on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) up to 68.21% on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 43s, the hand that is behind overall.

ATo against 43s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTies43s winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.0940.23431.67268.211
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31336.3560.82562.81936.769
Two-tone46.66758.7970.33040.87358.962
Monotone5.21257.4952.54839.95758.769
Paired17.09163.6660.67835.65664.005

Read the flop types this way: rainbow has three suits, two-tone has two cards of one suit, monotone has three, and paired repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, ATo holds 62.72% and 43s holds 38.64%. Facing each other changes that by -2.02 points for ATo and +0.66 points for 43s.

ATo and 43s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops60.69962.722-2.0230.96775
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher68.21162.722+5.4891.08751
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower36.76962.722-25.9530.58622
ATo, two-tone58.96262.722-3.7600.94005
ATo, monotone58.76962.722-3.9530.93698
ATo, paired64.00562.722+1.2831.02046
43s, all flops39.30138.642+0.6591.01705
43s, rainbow, ten or higher31.78938.642-6.8530.82265
43s, rainbow, nine or lower63.23138.642+24.5891.63633
43s, two-tone41.03838.642+2.3961.06201
43s, monotone41.23138.642+2.5891.06700
43s, paired35.99538.642-2.6470.93150

Does a shared suit matter?

Two kinds of deal exist here. In 24 of them the hands share a suit and ATo holds 61.40%. In 24 they do not, and it holds 60.00%. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.40 points.

ATo against 43s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTies43s winsATo equity
Share a suit2450.0061.1230.54938.32861.397
No shared suit2450.0059.7630.47639.76160.001

How often this matchup comes up

ATo against 43s is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. ATo's equity of 60.70% is worth $121.40, a $21.40 edge, and 43s' 39.30% is worth $78.60, which is $21.40 under its stake.

In 1,000 deals of exactly this matchup, expect about 604 won outright by ATo, about 391 won outright by 43s and about 5 split.

The same matchup from the other side

If you came looking for 43s against ATo, the numbers are the same with the hands swapped: 39.30% and 60.70%.

Try AsTh against 4d3d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

This is an exact count with no sampling. For the 48 ways to deal one ATo and one 43s without reusing a card, grouped by suit pattern, every one of the 1,712,304 possible boards is dealt and both seven-card hands are compared. A tie counts as half a win in the equity column, and each board is counted once under each of its ten three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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