ATo vs 65s: preflop equity

Averaged over every possible board, ATo is ahead of 65s by 18.58 points of equity, 59.29% to 40.71%.

ATo

59.29%

Wins 59.06%, ties 0.46%

65s

40.71%

Wins 40.48%, ties 0.46%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against 65s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against 65s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo59.0620.46340.47559.294
65s40.4750.46359.06240.706

ATo, an offsuit hand, plays 65s, a suited hand. Neither hand shares a rank with the other, so this is a contest of high cards, connection and suits.

That is a modest edge, the kind that shows up over many hands and is easy to miss in one. Ties are part of the picture: 0.46% of boards end in a split pot, and each side counts that as half a win.

For context, ATo sits at number 19 of 169 starting hands and 65s at number 128 when each is run against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo48,543,000381,00033,267,000
65s33,267,000381,00048,543,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

ATo against 65s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo1.4571.6932.4710.687
65s0.6872.4711.6931.457

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. ATo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 67.70%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 31.69%. Watch for low rainbow flops (nine high or lower): on those flops 65s holds the better equity.

ATo against 65s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTies65s winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71767.5990.20332.19867.700
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31331.3470.67767.97631.686
Two-tone46.66757.5010.28142.21857.641
Monotone5.21256.5362.41141.05357.742
Paired17.09161.9880.66137.35162.318

Rainbow flops have three suits, two-tone flops repeat one suit, monotone flops are all one suit, and paired flops repeat a rank.

Compared with a random hand

Against one random hand instead, ATo holds 62.72% and 65s holds 43.13%. Facing each other changes that by -3.43 points for ATo and -2.42 points for 65s.

ATo and 65s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops59.29462.722-3.4280.94535
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher67.70062.722+4.9781.07937
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower31.68662.722-31.0360.50518
ATo, two-tone57.64162.722-5.0810.91899
ATo, monotone57.74262.722-4.9800.92060
ATo, paired62.31862.722-0.4040.99356
65s, all flops40.70643.133-2.4270.94373
65s, rainbow, ten or higher32.30043.133-10.8330.74885
65s, rainbow, nine or lower68.31443.133+25.1811.58380
65s, two-tone42.35943.133-0.7740.98206
65s, monotone42.25843.133-0.8750.97971
65s, paired37.68243.133-5.4510.87362

Does a shared suit matter?

When the hands share a suit, ATo holds 59.99%; when they do not, it holds 58.60%. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.39 points.

ATo against 65s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTies65s winsATo equity
Share a suit2450.0059.7340.50439.76259.986
No shared suit2450.0058.3910.42141.18858.602

How often this matchup comes up

Exactly 48 specific deals fit this matchup in one seat order, which is 0.0030% of 1,624,350; both orders together give 96, or 0.0059%.

A worked example

Put $100 each into a $200 pot and deal every board once: ATo averages $118.58 back, ahead of its $100 by $18.58, while 65s averages $81.42, short of its $100 by $18.58.

Out of 1,000 deals you should see around 590 outright wins for ATo, 405 for 65s, and 5 split pots.

The same matchup from the other side

The reversed view, 65s against ATo, shows 40.71% for 65s and 59.29% for ATo. It is the same count, so it redirects here.

Try AsTh against 6d5d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

The page is built from a full enumeration: 1,712,304 boards, every suit pattern of the 48 specific deals, both seven-card hands evaluated. A tie is worth half a win to each hand, and a board is tallied under each of its ten possible flops for the texture rows.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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