ATo vs 64s: preflop equity

Counting every board, the equity split is 60.25% for ATo and 39.75% for 64s, so ATo leads by 20.50 points.

ATo

60.25%

Wins 60.02%, ties 0.46%

64s

39.75%

Wins 39.52%, ties 0.46%

Equity counts a tie as half a win. Exact over every board.

ATo against 64s: the numbers

Exact preflop results for ATo against 64s, in percent
HandWinsTiesLosesEquity
ATo60.0210.46439.51560.253
64s39.5150.46460.02139.747

The matchup pits an offsuit hand against a suited hand. With no overlap in ranks, every card that pairs one hand is a card that does not pair the other.

ATo is ahead, but 64s is far from dead: it takes 395 of every 1,000 deals outright. A split pot comes up on 0.46% of boards, so the wins and the equity differ by half of that.

ATo ranks number 19 of 169 starting hands, and 64s ranks number 138, by equity against a random hand.

Boards behind the percentages: 82,190,592 counted in all
HandBoards won, aboutBoards tied, aboutBoards lost, about
ATo49,332,000381,00032,478,000
64s32,478,000381,00049,332,000

Exact total: 48 deals times 1,712,304 boards. The other three counts come from the five-decimal percentages and are rounded to the nearest thousand, so read them as approximate.

ATo against 64s read as odds
HandEquity as odds (to 1)Wins one deal inLoses one deal inPot odds needed to call (to 1)
ATo1.5161.6662.5310.660
64s0.6602.5311.6661.516

The last column is the smallest pot odds, written as a pot-to-call ratio, at which a call breaks even with this equity.

Who is ahead on which flops

The flop changes the picture. ATo does best on rainbow flops topped by a ten or better, at 68.41%, and worst on low rainbow flops (nine high or lower), at 34.02%. Low rainbow flops (nine high or lower) favor 64s, the hand that is behind overall.

ATo against 64s by flop texture, in percent
FlopShare of flopsATo winsTies64s winsATo equity
Rainbow, ten or higher24.71768.3050.20331.49268.406
Rainbow, nine or lower6.31333.6790.67765.64434.018
Two-tone46.66758.4470.28141.27258.588
Monotone5.21257.2422.41540.34358.450
Paired17.09162.9170.66536.41863.249

A rainbow flop shows three suits, a two-tone flop repeats one suit, a monotone flop is a single suit, and a paired flop repeats a rank.

Compared with a random hand

The table below sets each hand against its own random-hand baseline: a change of -2.47 points for ATo, from 62.72%, and -1.58 for 64s, from 41.33%.

ATo and 64s here compared with each against a random hand, in percent
CaseEquity hereAgainst a random handChange in pointsTimes the random-hand equity
ATo, all flops60.25362.722-2.4690.96064
ATo, rainbow, ten or higher68.40662.722+5.6841.09062
ATo, rainbow, nine or lower34.01862.722-28.7040.54236
ATo, two-tone58.58862.722-4.1340.93409
ATo, monotone58.45062.722-4.2720.93189
ATo, paired63.24962.722+0.5271.00840
64s, all flops39.74741.333-1.5860.96163
64s, rainbow, ten or higher31.59441.333-9.7390.76438
64s, rainbow, nine or lower65.98241.333+24.6491.59635
64s, two-tone41.41241.333+0.0791.00191
64s, monotone41.55041.333+0.2171.00525
64s, paired36.75141.333-4.5820.88914

Does a shared suit matter?

Split by suits, the deals give ATo 60.96% when the hands overlap in a suit and 59.55% when they do not. ATo does better with a shared suit, by 1.41 points.

ATo against 64s by suit overlap, in percent
DealsSpecific dealsShare of dealsATo winsTies64s winsATo equity
Share a suit2450.0060.7080.50538.78760.961
No shared suit2450.0059.3340.42240.24459.545

How often this matchup comes up

ATo against 64s is made up of 48 specific-card matchups in one seat order, 0.0030% of the 1,624,350 ordered deals, and 96 counting both seat orders, 0.0059%.

A worked example

Take a $200 pot built from $100 each. ATo's equity of 60.25% is worth $120.50, a $20.50 edge, and 64s' 39.75% is worth $79.50, which is $20.50 under its stake.

Run 1,000 deals and the tally comes out near 600 for ATo, 395 for 64s and 5 ties.

The same matchup from the other side

64s versus ATo is this same page seen from the other hand: 39.75% for 64s, 60.25% for ATo.

Try AsTh against 6d4d in the calculator: the hands share no suit, and every card can be changed. The links after it are the closest matchups in the ranking.

How this was computed

We counted every case. Each suit pattern of the 48 specific ATo against 64s deals meets all 1,712,304 boards, and the better five-card hand wins; a split pot is half a win each. The flop table reads each board under all ten of its three-card flops.

Source: our own exact count from the GeorgeLiPoker poker math library. No outside data is used.

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